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BEFORE IT'S PLAYED
Matrix Sports Analytics simulates every NFL matchup 100,000 times, grounded in the real betting line — not a boosted number. Free model picks for early users, every week.
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Why Matrix Sports Analytics
Model-Driven Probabilities
Every matchup gets a simulated win probability, refreshed as the market line moves.
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LATEST GAME RECAPS
49ers' 6-point win falls short of model projection in narrow miss
San Francisco's 23-17 victory over Washington played out as the expected result but with notably less margin than the model anticipated. The 49ers entered as…
View Game →GB Stuns DAL as Model Overestimated Cowboys' Strength
Green Bay's 23-13 victory over Dallas was a clear upset by the pregame numbers, and the gap between projection and result reveals how the model read this…
View Game →Chiefs' 16-point win over Chargers exceeded model projection by 8.5 points
Kansas City's 22–6 victory over Los Angeles was not an upset—the model favored the Chiefs at 72% win probability pregame, matching the market's 7.5-point…
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