UTAH29%
Tue 11:00 PM ET
71%LAC
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Utah Jazz vs LA Clippers — Win Probability

Tue 11:00 PM ET
Utah Jazz logo
Utah Jazz
1-9
29%
VS
LA Clippers logo
LA Clippers
2-7
71%
Model expected score: Utah Jazz 110.8 – LA Clippers 116.8 (no market line posted for this game yet -- see Margin/Totals below)

Injury Report

Live ESPN injury status for both teams, polled fresh each run.

UTAH
  • Keyonte GeorgeOut
  • Lauri MarkkanenDay-To-Day
  • Jusuf NurkicOut
  • Jaren Jackson Jr.Out
LAC
  • Yanic Konan NiederhauserOut
  • Brandon IngramOut
  • Cam ChristieDay-To-Day
  • Bradley BealOut
  • Jordan MillerOut

Margin of Victory — LA Clippers (Home)

How often each outcome happened for LA Clippers, across 100,000 simulated versions of this game (centered on this model's own predicted margin -- no market line posted for this game yet).

Lost
34%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
11%
Won by 8-14
18%
Won by 15-21
14%
Won by 21+
14%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined score across 100,000 simulated versions of this game, against six fixed lines (no market total posted for this game yet -- the highlighted line is this model's own pick, not a sportsbook number).

O/U LINE 210
82% over18% under
O/U LINE 220
66% over34% under
O/U LINE 230 MODEL'S PICK
45% over55% under
O/U LINE 240
26% over74% under
O/U LINE 250
12% over88% under
O/U LINE 260
4% over96% under

Starter Grades

Season-to-date Basketball-Reference stats for each team's starters, minimum 25% of that team's games started.

UTAH
Points Per GamePoints scored per game.
Player Efficiency RatingPlayer Efficiency Rating (John Hollinger) -- a per-minute rating summing a player's positive contributions and subtracting the negative, league-adjusted so 15.0 = average.
Win Shares Per 48 MinutesAn estimate of the number of wins contributed by a player per 48 minutes (league average is approximately .100).
Keyonte GeorgePG
21.1
Lauri MarkkanenPF
18.0
Jaren Jackson Jr.C
16.3
Darryn PetersonSG
14.8
Ace BaileySF
11.9
LAC
Points Per GamePoints scored per game.
Player Efficiency RatingPlayer Efficiency Rating (John Hollinger) -- a per-minute rating summing a player's positive contributions and subtracting the negative, league-adjusted so 15.0 = average.
Win Shares Per 48 MinutesAn estimate of the number of wins contributed by a player per 48 minutes (league average is approximately .100).
Darius GarlandPG
21.2
Rui HachimuraPF
14.6
Brook LopezC
14.2
Derrick Jones Jr.SF
11.1
Kris DunnSG
9.1

Team Grades

Both teams' own season-to-date production, ranked against the rest of the league -- Core Four, Four Factors, and Net Efficiency, computed from real box scores (regular season only).

Ranked all 30 teams
UTAH
106.20
29th / 30
Points
LAC
112.44
17th / 30
UTAH
45.10
10th / 30
Rebounds
LAC
40.89
27th / 30
UTAH
24.30
26th / 30
Assists
LAC
26.56
13th / 30
UTAH
101.03
5th / 30
Pace
PaceAn estimate of the number of possessions per 48 minutes by a team.
LAC
99.94
10th / 30
UTAH
49.54%
28th / 30
eFG%
Effective Field Goal Percentage(FG + 0.5 x 3P) / FGA. Weights a made 3 as worth 1.5 made 2s, since it's worth one more point.
LAC
54.66%
9th / 30
UTAH
14.63%
26th / 30
TOV%
Turnover PercentageEstimated turnovers per 100 plays.
LAC
16.19%
30th / 30
UTAH
25.84%
18th / 30
OREB%
Offensive Rebound PercentageEstimated percentage of available offensive rebounds grabbed.
LAC
25.74%
20th / 30
UTAH
.289
14th / 30
FT Rate
Free Throw Attempt RateFTA / FGA -- how often a team gets to the line relative to its field goal attempts.
LAC
.294
11th / 30
UTAH
105.12
29th / 30
Off Rating
Offensive RatingPoints produced per 100 possessions (Dean Oliver method), team-pace-adjusted.
LAC
112.51
20th / 30
UTAH
116.70
24th / 30
Def Rating
Defensive RatingPoints allowed per 100 possessions (Dean Oliver method), team-pace-adjusted.
LAC
116.52
22nd / 30
UTAH
-11.58
26th / 30
Net Rating
Net RatingOffensive Rating minus Defensive Rating -- point differential per 100 possessions, the single best metric for evaluating a team's true strength.
LAC
-4.00
20th / 30

Efficiency and Scoring per 100 possessions

Season-to-date shooting, rebounding, and ballhandling per 100 possessions.

"Team" is each team's own production. "Opponent" is what they allowed their opponent to average. Both ranked against all 30 teams.

Team
42.97%27th/30
FG%
Field Goal PercentageField Goals made / Field Goal Attempts.
46.39%12th/30
11.3826th/30
3P
3-Point Field GoalsPer 100 possessions.
14.0112th/30
35.4423rd/30
3PA
3-Point Field Goal AttemptsPer 100 possessions.
36.2420th/30
32.12%26th/30
3P%
3-Point Field Goal Percentage3-Point Field Goals made / 3-Point Field Goal Attempts.
38.65%2nd/30
25.8420th/30
2P
2-Point Field GoalsPer 100 possessions.
25.2424th/30
51.1815th/30
2PA
2-Point Field Goal AttemptsPer 100 possessions.
48.3621st/30
50.48%28th/30
2P%
2-Point Field Goal Percentage2-Point Field Goals made / 2-Point Field Goal Attempts.
52.18%23rd/30
19.3017th/30
FT
Free ThrowsPer 100 possessions.
20.0114th/30
25.0416th/30
FTA
Free Throw AttemptsPer 100 possessions.
24.9018th/30
77.08%17th/30
FT%
Free Throw PercentageFree Throws made / Free Throw Attempts.
80.36%10th/30
12.1815th/30
ORB
Offensive ReboundsPer 100 possessions.
10.6724th/30
32.4716th/30
DRB
Defensive ReboundsPer 100 possessions.
30.2424th/30
7.0328th/30
STL
StealsPer 100 possessions.
9.895th/30
6.245th/30
BLK
BlocksPer 100 possessions.
4.2225th/30
16.7326th/30
TOV
TurnoversPer 100 possessions.
18.4629th/30
23.1621st/30
PF
Personal FoulsPer 100 possessions.
22.7917th/30
Opponent
45.42%14th/30
FG%
Field Goal PercentageField Goals made / Field Goal Attempts.
48.98%29th/30
12.088th/30
3P
3-Point Field GoalsPer 100 possessions.
11.905th/30
33.854th/30
3PA
3-Point Field Goal AttemptsPer 100 possessions.
33.803rd/30
35.67%22nd/30
3P%
3-Point Field Goal Percentage3-Point Field Goals made / 3-Point Field Goal Attempts.
35.20%18th/30
27.2213th/30
2P
2-Point Field GoalsPer 100 possessions.
30.6930th/30
52.6621st/30
2PA
2-Point Field Goal AttemptsPer 100 possessions.
53.1423rd/30
51.69%7th/30
2P%
2-Point Field Goal Percentage2-Point Field Goals made / 2-Point Field Goal Attempts.
57.74%27th/30
26.0330th/30
FT
Free ThrowsPer 100 possessions.
19.4617th/30
30.9830th/30
FTA
Free Throw AttemptsPer 100 possessions.
26.3520th/30
84.03%28th/30
FT%
Free Throw PercentageFree Throws made / Free Throw Attempts.
73.84%3rd/30
11.098th/30
ORB
Offensive ReboundsPer 100 possessions.
12.1215th/30
34.9428th/30
DRB
Defensive ReboundsPer 100 possessions.
30.808th/30
9.7025th/30
STL
StealsPer 100 possessions.
9.6724th/30
5.3522nd/30
BLK
BlocksPer 100 possessions.
4.7813th/30
14.2519th/30
TOV
TurnoversPer 100 possessions.
15.5713th/30
24.3525th/30
PF
Personal FoulsPer 100 possessions.
21.4610th/30
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