Los Angeles Lakers vs Phoenix Suns — Win Probability

Starter Grades

Season-to-date Basketball-Reference stats for each team's starters, minimum 25% of that team's games started.

LAL

PTS

Points Per GamePoints scored per game.

PER

Player Efficiency RatingPlayer Efficiency Rating (John Hollinger) -- a per-minute rating summing a player's positive contributions and subtracting the negative, league-adjusted so 15.0 = average.

WS/48

Win Shares Per 48 MinutesAn estimate of the number of wins contributed by a player per 48 minutes (league average is approximately .100).

Luka DončićPG

40.1

Austin ReavesSG

25.3

Walker KesslerC

14.4

Ziaire WilliamsSF

11.1

Matisse ThybulleSF

7.1

PHX

PTS

Points Per GamePoints scored per game.

PER

Player Efficiency RatingPlayer Efficiency Rating (John Hollinger) -- a per-minute rating summing a player's positive contributions and subtracting the negative, league-adjusted so 15.0 = average.

WS/48

Win Shares Per 48 MinutesAn estimate of the number of wins contributed by a player per 48 minutes (league average is approximately .100).

Devin BookerSG

25.3

Miles BridgesPF

16.9

Dillon BrooksSF

16.8

Jalen GreenSG

12.4

Khaman MaluachC

7.4

Team Grades

Both teams' own season-to-date production, ranked against the rest of the league -- Core Four, Four Factors, and Net Efficiency, computed from real box scores (regular season only).

Ranked all 30 teams

LAL

121.91

1st / 30

Points

PHX

112.38

18th / 30

LAL

40.27

29th / 30

Rebounds

PHX

39.25

30th / 30

LAL

23.55

27th / 30

Assists

PHX

27.88

5th / 30

LAL

98.88

19th / 30

Pace

PaceAn estimate of the number of possessions per 48 minutes by a team.

PHX

98.10

21st / 30

LAL

58.93%

1st / 30

eFG%

Effective Field Goal Percentage(FG + 0.5 x 3P) / FGA. Weights a made 3 as worth 1.5 made 2s, since it's worth one more point.

PHX

54.69%

8th / 30

LAL

14.34%

25th / 30

TOV%

Turnover PercentageEstimated turnovers per 100 plays.

PHX

12.70%

11th / 30

LAL

28.37%

14th / 30

OREB%

Offensive Rebound PercentageEstimated percentage of available offensive rebounds grabbed.

PHX

25.80%

19th / 30

LAL

.376

1st / 30

FT Rate

Free Throw Attempt RateFTA / FGA -- how often a team gets to the line relative to its field goal attempts.

PHX

.236

26th / 30

LAL

123.29

1st / 30

Off Rating

Offensive RatingPoints produced per 100 possessions (Dean Oliver method), team-pace-adjusted.

PHX

114.55

18th / 30

LAL

115.75

18th / 30

Def Rating

Defensive RatingPoints allowed per 100 possessions (Dean Oliver method), team-pace-adjusted.

PHX

120.92

27th / 30

LAL

+7.54

7th / 30

Net Rating

Net RatingOffensive Rating minus Defensive Rating -- point differential per 100 possessions, the single best metric for evaluating a team's true strength.

PHX

-6.37

23rd / 30

Efficiency and Scoring per 100 possessions

Season-to-date shooting, rebounding, and ballhandling per 100 possessions.

"Team" is each team's own production. "Opponent" is what they allowed their opponent to average. Both ranked against all 30 teams.

Team

50.50%1st/30

FG%

Field Goal PercentageField Goals made / Field Goal Attempts.

47.16%8th/30

14.0711th/30

3P

3-Point Field GoalsPer 100 possessions.

13.5116th/30

37.0518th/30

3PA

3-Point Field Goal AttemptsPer 100 possessions.

37.5917th/30

37.97%4th/30

3P%

3-Point Field Goal Percentage3-Point Field Goals made / 3-Point Field Goal Attempts.

35.93%12th/30

28.0413th/30

2P

2-Point Field GoalsPer 100 possessions.

28.809th/30

46.3425th/30

2PA

2-Point Field Goal AttemptsPer 100 possessions.

52.1111th/30

60.52%1st/30

2P%

2-Point Field Goal Percentage2-Point Field Goals made / 2-Point Field Goal Attempts.

55.26%9th/30

25.012nd/30

FT

Free ThrowsPer 100 possessions.

16.4427th/30

31.352nd/30

FTA

Free Throw AttemptsPer 100 possessions.

21.1527th/30

79.77%11th/30

FT%

Free Throw PercentageFree Throws made / Free Throw Attempts.

77.71%15th/30

11.0321st/30

ORB

Offensive ReboundsPer 100 possessions.

11.3420th/30

29.7026th/30

DRB

Defensive ReboundsPer 100 possessions.

28.6729th/30

10.393rd/30

STL

StealsPer 100 possessions.

9.438th/30

6.533rd/30

BLK

BlocksPer 100 possessions.

4.9716th/30

16.2723rd/30

TOV

TurnoversPer 100 possessions.

14.4010th/30

24.1828th/30

PF

Personal FoulsPer 100 possessions.

23.5724th/30

Opponent

45.61%15th/30

FG%

Field Goal PercentageField Goals made / Field Goal Attempts.

46.98%21st/30

15.3528th/30

3P

3-Point Field GoalsPer 100 possessions.

15.0426th/30

40.9123rd/30

3PA

3-Point Field Goal AttemptsPer 100 possessions.

39.3720th/30

37.53%24th/30

3P%

3-Point Field Goal Percentage3-Point Field Goals made / 3-Point Field Goal Attempts.

38.19%27th/30

24.273rd/30

2P

2-Point Field GoalsPer 100 possessions.

26.639th/30

45.973rd/30

2PA

2-Point Field Goal AttemptsPer 100 possessions.

49.3110th/30

52.80%11th/30

2P%

2-Point Field Goal Percentage2-Point Field Goals made / 2-Point Field Goal Attempts.

54.01%16th/30

21.1522nd/30

FT

Free ThrowsPer 100 possessions.

22.5525th/30

28.4124th/30

FTA

Free Throw AttemptsPer 100 possessions.

29.3126th/30

74.43%5th/30

FT%

Free Throw PercentageFree Throws made / Free Throw Attempts.

76.96%12th/30

13.7924th/30

ORB

Offensive ReboundsPer 100 possessions.

14.9130th/30

27.861st/30

DRB

Defensive ReboundsPer 100 possessions.

32.6216th/30

9.8427th/30

STL

StealsPer 100 possessions.

7.908th/30

3.863rd/30

BLK

BlocksPer 100 possessions.

4.597th/30

18.112nd/30

TOV

TurnoversPer 100 possessions.

17.333rd/30

25.1028th/30

PF

Personal FoulsPer 100 possessions.

19.112nd/30