HOU23%Sat 8:30 PM ET
77%OKC
Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder — Win Probability
Sat 8:30 PM ET
Houston Rockets
16-8
23%
VS
Oklahoma City Thunder
18-5
77%
Injury Report
Live ESPN injury status for both teams, polled fresh each run.
HOU
- Oscar TshiebweDay-To-Day
- Clint CapelaOut
- Steven AdamsOut
OKC
- Jaylin WilliamsOut
- Thomas SorberOut
- Cason WallaceOut
- Chet HolmgrenOut
- Jalen WilliamsOut
Margin of Victory — Oklahoma City Thunder (Home)
How often each outcome happened for Oklahoma City Thunder, across 100,000 simulated versions of this game (centered on this model's own predicted margin -- no market line posted for this game yet).
Lost
29%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
11%
Won by 8-14
19%
Won by 15-21
15%
Won by 21+
18%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined score across 100,000 simulated versions of this game, against six fixed lines (no market total posted for this game yet -- the highlighted line is this model's own pick, not a sportsbook number).
O/U LINE 210
73% over27% under
O/U LINE 220 MODEL'S PICK
53% over47% under
O/U LINE 230
33% over67% under
O/U LINE 240
17% over83% under
O/U LINE 250
7% over93% under
O/U LINE 260
2% over98% under
Starter Grades
Season-to-date Basketball-Reference stats for each team's starters, minimum 25% of that team's games started.
HOU
Points Per GamePoints scored per game.
Player Efficiency RatingPlayer Efficiency Rating (John Hollinger) -- a per-minute rating summing a player's positive contributions and subtracting the negative, league-adjusted so 15.0 = average.
Win Shares Per 48 MinutesAn estimate of the number of wins contributed by a player per 48 minutes (league average is approximately .100).
Jalen GreenSG
21.0
Alperen ŞengünC
19.1
Amen ThompsonSF
14.1
Fred VanVleetPG
14.1
Dillon BrooksSF
14.0
OKC
Points Per GamePoints scored per game.
Player Efficiency RatingPlayer Efficiency Rating (John Hollinger) -- a per-minute rating summing a player's positive contributions and subtracting the negative, league-adjusted so 15.0 = average.
Win Shares Per 48 MinutesAn estimate of the number of wins contributed by a player per 48 minutes (league average is approximately .100).
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderPG
32.7
Jalen WilliamsSG
21.6
Chet HolmgrenC
15.0
Aaron WigginsSG
12.0
Isaiah HartensteinC
11.2
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