MIL106FINAL
140NY
Milwaukee Bucks vs New York Knicks — Win Probability
FINAL
Milwaukee Bucks
18-16
106
VS
New York Knicks
25-13
140
Injury Report
Live ESPN injury status for both teams, polled fresh each run.
MIL
- Tyler HerroDay-To-Day
NY
- Josh HartDay-To-Day
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Knicks 59%
ACTUAL RESULT
Knicks won by 34
COMBINED SCORE
246
Margin of Victory — New York Knicks (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before tipoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost
43%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
11%
Won by 8-14
17%
Won by 15-21
11%
Won by 21+ ← actual result
10%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined score across 100,000 simulated versions of this game, against six fixed lines (no market total posted for this game yet -- the highlighted line is this model's own pick, not a sportsbook number). The real combined score was 246.
O/U LINE 210
81% over ✓19% under
O/U LINE 220
63% over ✓37% under
O/U LINE 230 MODEL'S PICK
43% over ✓57% under
O/U LINE 240
24% over ✓76% under
O/U LINE 250
11% over89% under ✓
O/U LINE 260
4% over96% under ✓
Starter Grades
Season-to-date Basketball-Reference stats for each team's starters, minimum 25% of that team's games started.
MIL
Points Per GamePoints scored per game.
Player Efficiency RatingPlayer Efficiency Rating (John Hollinger) -- a per-minute rating summing a player's positive contributions and subtracting the negative, league-adjusted so 15.0 = average.
Win Shares Per 48 MinutesAn estimate of the number of wins contributed by a player per 48 minutes (league average is approximately .100).
Giannis AntetokounmpoPF
30.4
Damian LillardPG
24.9
Kyle KuzmaPF
14.5
Brook LopezC
13.0
Khris MiddletonSF
12.6
NY
Points Per GamePoints scored per game.
Player Efficiency RatingPlayer Efficiency Rating (John Hollinger) -- a per-minute rating summing a player's positive contributions and subtracting the negative, league-adjusted so 15.0 = average.
Win Shares Per 48 MinutesAn estimate of the number of wins contributed by a player per 48 minutes (league average is approximately .100).
Jalen BrunsonPG
26.0
Karl-Anthony TownsC
24.4
OG AnunobyPF
18.0
Mikal BridgesSF
17.6
Josh HartSG
13.6
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