NY104FINAL
93NO
New York Knicks vs New Orleans Pelicans — Win Probability
FINAL
New York Knicks
17-9
104
VS
New Orleans Pelicans
5-23
93
Injury Report
Live ESPN injury status for both teams, polled fresh each run.
NY
- Josh HartDay-To-Day
NO
- Trendon WatfordDay-To-Day
- Trey Murphy IIIDay-To-Day
- Zion WilliamsonDay-To-Day
- Yves MissiOut
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Knicks 79%
ACTUAL RESULT
Knicks won by 11
COMBINED SCORE
197
Margin of Victory — New Orleans Pelicans (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before tipoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost ← actual result
73%
Won by 1-3
6%
Won by 4-7
7%
Won by 8-14
8%
Won by 15-21
4%
Won by 21+
2%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined score across 100,000 simulated versions of this game, against six fixed lines (no market total posted for this game yet -- the highlighted line is this model's own pick, not a sportsbook number). The real combined score was 197.
O/U LINE 210
81% over19% under ✓
O/U LINE 220
63% over37% under ✓
O/U LINE 230 MODEL'S PICK
42% over58% under ✓
O/U LINE 240
24% over76% under ✓
O/U LINE 250
11% over89% under ✓
O/U LINE 260
4% over96% under ✓
Starter Grades
Season-to-date Basketball-Reference stats for each team's starters, minimum 25% of that team's games started.
NY
Points Per GamePoints scored per game.
Player Efficiency RatingPlayer Efficiency Rating (John Hollinger) -- a per-minute rating summing a player's positive contributions and subtracting the negative, league-adjusted so 15.0 = average.
Win Shares Per 48 MinutesAn estimate of the number of wins contributed by a player per 48 minutes (league average is approximately .100).
Jalen BrunsonPG
26.0
Karl-Anthony TownsC
24.4
OG AnunobyPF
18.0
Mikal BridgesSF
17.6
Josh HartSG
13.6
NO
Points Per GamePoints scored per game.
Player Efficiency RatingPlayer Efficiency Rating (John Hollinger) -- a per-minute rating summing a player's positive contributions and subtracting the negative, league-adjusted so 15.0 = average.
Win Shares Per 48 MinutesAn estimate of the number of wins contributed by a player per 48 minutes (league average is approximately .100).
Zion WilliamsonPF
24.6
Brandon IngramSF
22.2
Trey Murphy IIISF
21.2
CJ McCollumPG
21.1
Dejounte MurrayPG
17.5
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