LV50%▲
Sun 1:00 PM ET
50%NYJ
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Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets — Win Probability

Sun 1:00 PM ET
Las Vegas Raiders logo
Las Vegas Raiders
3-3
50%
VS
New York Jets logo
New York Jets
2-4
50%
Market line: NYJ -0.0, total 42.5 · Model expected score: Las Vegas Raiders 21.3 – New York Jets 21.3
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Margin of Victory — New York Jets (Home)

How often each outcome happened for New York Jets, across every simulated version of this game.

Lost / Tied
50%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
11%
Won by 8-14
15%
Won by 15-21
9%
Won by 21+
6%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line.

O/U LINE 30
83% over17% under
O/U LINE 40
58% over42% under
O/U LINE 42.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under
O/U LINE 44
46% over54% under
O/U LINE 48
34% over66% under
O/U LINE 52
24% over76% under
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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Highest Graded Players

Season-to-date PFF grades for each team's top graded players, minimum 25% of that side's snaps.

LV
Brock BowersTE
85.8
Ian ThomasTE
76.7
Michael MayerTE
75.9
Kirk CousinsQB
74.7
Cody WhiteWR
73.6
NYJ
Dylan ParhamG
88.7
Garrett WilsonWR
79.0
Joe TippmannG
76.9
Braelon AllenHB
73.5
Geno SmithQB
71.4

QB Matchup

Each team's real current starting QB (per PFF's own depth chart) -- season-to-date PFF grades and passing profile, ranked against the league's other starters. A stat reads “—” when that player has no recorded snaps for it yet this season (e.g. just back from injury).

LVKirk Cousins
VS
NYJGeno Smith
LV
74.7
13th / 35
Overall Grade
NYJ
71.4
18th / 35
LV
85.8
14th / 35
Clean Pocket Grade
NYJ
80.0
19th / 35
LV
49.2
15th / 35
Pressure Grade
NYJ
54.5
8th / 35
LV
3.0%
25th / 35
Big Time Throw %
NYJ
4.2%
11th / 35
LV
2.4%
13th / 35
Turnover Worthy %
NYJ
1.8%
7th / 35
LV
2.72s
10th / 35
Avg Time To Throw
NYJ
2.99s
21st / 35
LV
8.8
12th / 35
Avg Depth of Target
NYJ
7.5
25th / 35

Efficiency and Scoring

Season-to-date EPA, success rate, and scoring, with each figure's league rank.

Offense
LVNYJ
+0.0412th/32
EPA / Play
-0.0320th/32
+0.197th/32
EPA / Play (Passing)
+0.0618th/32
-0.1929th/32
EPA / Play (Rushing)
-0.1525th/32
45.6%13th/32
Success Rate
45.5%14th/32
51.5%9th/32
Success Rate (Passing)
49.3%15th/32
36.4%27th/32
Success Rate (Rushing)
40.3%20th/32
26.49th/32
Points Per Game
18.627th/32
Defense
LVNYJ
+0.0725th/32
EPA / Play
-0.068th/32
+0.1827th/32
EPA / Play (Passing)
+0.0318th/32
-0.0813th/32
EPA / Play (Rushing)
-0.183rd/32
46.8%24th/32
Success Rate
44.4%16th/32
50.7%26th/32
Success Rate (Passing)
45.5%14th/32
41.2%16th/32
Success Rate (Rushing)
42.9%21st/32
25.822nd/32
Points Per Game
19.25th/32

Pressure Matchup

Each team's O-line pressure allowed against the other team's pass rush generated.

When Las Vegas Raiders have the ball
LV pressure allowed34.9%15th of 32
→
NYJ pressure generated36.9%16th of 32
When New York Jets have the ball
NYJ pressure allowed35.6%16th of 32
→
LV pressure generated40.0%6th of 32

Team Grades

Both teams' own season-to-date PFF grades, side by side.

Grades ranked all 32 teams
LV
72.1
22nd / 32
Overall
NYJ
74.5
16th / 32
LV
72.3
12th / 32
Offense
NYJ
70.2
19th / 32
LV
60.1
26th / 32
Defense
NYJ
68.2
12th / 32
LV
65.1
29th / 32
Special Teams
NYJ
90.1
6th / 32
LV
71.0
14th / 32
Passing Offense
NYJ
71.0
14th / 32
LV
76.7
12th / 32
Rushing Offense
NYJ
70.8
19th / 32
LV
71.5
18th / 32
Receiving
NYJ
65.9
26th / 32
LV
61.8
22nd / 32
Offensive Line
NYJ
67.3
8th / 32
LV
73.0
7th / 32
Pass Rush
NYJ
60.5
32nd / 32
LV
41.6
31st / 32
Coverage
NYJ
84.4
1st / 32
LV
61.9
14th / 32
Run Defense
NYJ
58.3
23rd / 32
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