Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers

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Cleveland Browns

4-2

38%

Pittsburgh Steelers

4-2

62%

Market line: PIT -4.3, total 38.5 · Model expected score: Cleveland Browns 17.1 – Pittsburgh Steelers 21.4

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Margin of Victory — Pittsburgh Steelers (Home)

How often each outcome happened for Pittsburgh Steelers, across every simulated version of this game.

Lost / Tied

38%

Won by 1-3

Won by 4-7

12%

Won by 8-14

18%

Won by 15-21

13%

Won by 21+

10%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line.

O/U LINE 30

74% over26% under

O/U LINE 38.5 MARKET LINE

50% over50% under

O/U LINE 40

46% over54% under

O/U LINE 44

34% over66% under

O/U LINE 48

24% over76% under

O/U LINE 52

16% over84% under

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Highest Graded Players

Season-to-date PFF grades for each team's top graded players, minimum 25% of that side's snaps.

CLE

Denzel BostonWR

73.7

Austin BarberG

71.5

Zion JohnsonG

69.7

Spencer FanoT

69.2

KC ConcepcionWR

64.7

PIT

Mason McCormickG

78.1

Jaylen WarrenHB

78.1

Zach FrazierC

77.1

Dylan CookT

76.4

Darnell WashingtonTE

72.3

QB Matchup

Each team's real current starting QB (per PFF's own depth chart) -- season-to-date PFF grades and passing profile, ranked against the league's other starters. A stat reads “—” when that player has no recorded snaps for it yet this season (e.g. just back from injury).

CLEDeshaun Watson

PITAaron Rodgers

CLE

53.0

29th / 35

Overall Grade

PIT

65.3

21st / 35

CLE

71.4

27th / 35

Clean Pocket Grade

PIT

71.5

26th / 35

CLE

32.7

29th / 35

Pressure Grade

PIT

50.7

13th / 35

CLE

3.2%

23rd / 35

Big Time Throw %

PIT

3.2%

23rd / 35

CLE

4.6%

26th / 35

Turnover Worthy %

PIT

2.1%

10th / 35

CLE

3.09s

25th / 35

Avg Time To Throw

PIT

2.61s

5th / 35

CLE

7.7

24th / 35

Avg Depth of Target

PIT

7.5

25th / 35

Efficiency and Scoring

Season-to-date EPA, success rate, and scoring, with each figure's league rank.

Offense

CLEPIT

-0.1028th/32

EPA / Play

-0.0824th/32

-0.0222nd/32

EPA / Play (Passing)

-0.1124th/32

-0.2531st/32

EPA / Play (Rushing)

-0.0110th/32

39.5%30th/32

Success Rate

42.4%22nd/32

43.9%22nd/32

Success Rate (Passing)

43.7%23rd/32

32.1%32nd/32

Success Rate (Rushing)

39.8%21st/32

18.627th/32

Points Per Game

22.218th/32

Defense

CLEPIT

-0.0410th/32

EPA / Play

-0.075th/32

-0.0310th/32

EPA / Play (Passing)

-0.075th/32

-0.0616th/32

EPA / Play (Rushing)

-0.0618th/32

42.5%5th/32

Success Rate

43.8%12th/32

43.0%4th/32

Success Rate (Passing)

45.4%12th/32

41.7%18th/32

Success Rate (Rushing)

41.3%17th/32

22.414th/32

Points Per Game

21.810th/32

Pressure Matchup

Each team's O-line pressure allowed against the other team's pass rush generated.

When Cleveland Browns have the ball

CLE pressure allowed43.0%29th of 32

→

PIT pressure generated33.9%23rd of 32

When Pittsburgh Steelers have the ball

PIT pressure allowed34.1%13th of 32

→

CLE pressure generated41.7%4th of 32

Team Grades

Both teams' own season-to-date PFF grades, side by side.

Grades ranked all 32 teams

CLE

68.2

27th / 32

Overall

PIT

79.7

8th / 32

CLE

63.7

26th / 32

Offense

PIT

71.4

17th / 32

CLE

64.9

18th / 32

Defense

PIT

77.6

1st / 32

CLE

75.7

19th / 32

Special Teams

PIT

59.1

31st / 32

CLE

55.6

25th / 32

Passing Offense

PIT

67.2

19th / 32

CLE

60.5

29th / 32

Rushing Offense

PIT

78.7

9th / 32

CLE

70.5

20th / 32

Receiving

PIT

64.8

28th / 32

CLE

62.4

20th / 32

Offensive Line

PIT

71.0

4th / 32

CLE

66.6

25th / 32

Pass Rush

PIT

74.0

6th / 32

CLE

65.5

14th / 32

Coverage

PIT

72.2

7th / 32

CLE

61.4

15th / 32

Run Defense

PIT

78.5