CHI41%
Mon 8:15 PM ET
59%SEA
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Chicago Bears vs Seattle Seahawks — Win Probability

Mon 8:15 PM ET
Chicago Bears logo
Chicago Bears
5-2
41%
VS
Seattle Seahawks logo
Seattle Seahawks
3-3
59%
Market line: SEA -3.0, total 46.5 · Model expected score: Chicago Bears 21.8 – Seattle Seahawks 24.7
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Margin of Victory — Seattle Seahawks (Home)

How often each outcome happened for Seattle Seahawks, across every simulated version of this game.

Lost / Tied
41%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
18%
Won by 15-21
12%
Won by 21+
9%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line.

O/U LINE 30
89% over11% under
O/U LINE 40
69% over31% under
O/U LINE 44
57% over43% under
O/U LINE 46.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under
O/U LINE 48
45% over55% under
O/U LINE 52
34% over66% under
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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Highest Graded Players

Season-to-date PFF grades for each team's top graded players, minimum 25% of that side's snaps.

CHI
Jonah JacksonG
83.7
Darnell WrightT
83.1
Kyle MonangaiHB
74.7
Luther Burden IIIWR
73.7
Kalif RaymondWR
72.6
SEA
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR
92.2
Drew LockQB
92.1
Charles CrossT
79.1
Abraham LucasT
68.4
Cooper KuppWR
65.5

QB Matchup

Each team's real current starting QB (per PFF's own depth chart) -- season-to-date PFF grades and passing profile, ranked against the league's other starters. A stat reads “—” when that player has no recorded snaps for it yet this season (e.g. just back from injury).

CHICaleb Williams
VS
SEASam Darnold
CHI
65.2
22nd / 35
Overall Grade
SEA
64.2
25th / 35
CHI
78.3
22nd / 35
Clean Pocket Grade
SEA
79.7
20th / 35
CHI
48.1
16th / 35
Pressure Grade
SEA
38.9
24th / 35
CHI
3.0%
25th / 35
Big Time Throw %
SEA
4.5%
10th / 35
CHI
2.5%
17th / 35
Turnover Worthy %
SEA
5.7%
32nd / 35
CHI
3.50s
35th / 35
Avg Time To Throw
SEA
3.08s
24th / 35
CHI
5.9
35th / 35
Avg Depth of Target
SEA
8.1
21st / 35

Efficiency and Scoring

Season-to-date EPA, success rate, and scoring, with each figure's league rank.

Offense
CHISEA
+0.0314th/32
EPA / Play
-0.0723rd/32
+0.1014th/32
EPA / Play (Passing)
+0.0419th/32
-0.0618th/32
EPA / Play (Rushing)
-0.2230th/32
46.7%12th/32
Success Rate
44.6%18th/32
51.7%7th/32
Success Rate (Passing)
47.5%16th/32
40.7%16th/32
Success Rate (Rushing)
40.5%18th/32
23.813th/32
Points Per Game
26.88th/32
Defense
CHISEA
-0.0312th/32
EPA / Play
-0.142nd/32
-0.056th/32
EPA / Play (Passing)
-0.132nd/32
-0.0128th/32
EPA / Play (Rushing)
-0.174th/32
42.2%4th/32
Success Rate
40.6%3rd/32
40.7%2nd/32
Success Rate (Passing)
44.2%7th/32
44.6%26th/32
Success Rate (Rushing)
35.2%4th/32
19.25th/32
Points Per Game
21.08th/32

Pressure Matchup

Each team's O-line pressure allowed against the other team's pass rush generated.

When Chicago Bears have the ball
CHI pressure allowed36.9%19th of 32
→
SEA pressure generated44.2%2nd of 32
When Seattle Seahawks have the ball
SEA pressure allowed43.0%28th of 32
→
CHI pressure generated39.7%7th of 32

Team Grades

Both teams' own season-to-date PFF grades, side by side.

Grades ranked all 32 teams
CHI
75.1
15th / 32
Overall
SEA
73.4
18th / 32
CHI
72.2
14th / 32
Offense
SEA
70.0
20th / 32
CHI
66.3
16th / 32
Defense
SEA
70.5
10th / 32
CHI
70.0
26th / 32
Special Teams
SEA
52.1
32nd / 32
CHI
61.1
21st / 32
Passing Offense
SEA
74.7
8th / 32
CHI
67.1
25th / 32
Rushing Offense
SEA
53.1
32nd / 32
CHI
74.8
11th / 32
Receiving
SEA
73.1
14th / 32
CHI
69.8
6th / 32
Offensive Line
SEA
66.0
12th / 32
CHI
71.5
11th / 32
Pass Rush
SEA
68.6
18th / 32
CHI
65.9
13th / 32
Coverage
SEA
82.5
2nd / 32
CHI
53.7
28th / 32
Run Defense
SEA
56.0
25th / 32
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