TB41%
Sun 1:00 PM ET
59%CAR
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers — Win Probability

Sun 1:00 PM ET
Tampa Bay Buccaneers logo
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
1-5
41%
VS
Carolina Panthers logo
Carolina Panthers
3-2
59%
Market line: CAR -3.0, total 44.5 · Model expected score: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20.8 – Carolina Panthers 23.7
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Injury Report

The latest official designations and practice participation for both teams.

TB
  • QBBaker MayfieldFull
  • RBBucky IrvingDNP
  • LBChristian RozeboomDNP
  • WREmeka EgbukaDNP
  • TLuke GoedekeDNP
  • CBZyon McCollumDNP
  • SAntoine Winfield Jr.Limited
  • DTCalijah KanceyLimited
  • CBBenjamin MorrisonFull
  • KChase McLaughlinFull
  • GCody MauchFull
  • WRDavid SillsFull
  • LBJosiah TrotterFull
  • PRiley DixonFull
  • RBSean TuckerFull
CAR
  • QBBryce YoungFull
  • LBJaelan PhillipsDNP
  • LBThomas IncoomDNP
  • RBAJ DillonFull
  • LBBam Martin-ScottFull
  • TMonroe FreelingFull
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Margin of Victory — Carolina Panthers (Home)

How often each outcome happened for Carolina Panthers, across every simulated version of this game.

Lost / Tied
41%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
18%
Won by 15-21
12%
Won by 21+
9%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line.

O/U LINE 30
86% over14% under
O/U LINE 40
63% over37% under
O/U LINE 44
52% over48% under
O/U LINE 44.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under
O/U LINE 48
40% over60% under
O/U LINE 52
29% over71% under
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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Highest Graded Players

Season-to-date PFF grades for each team's top graded players, minimum 25% of that side's snaps.

TB
Tristan WirfsT
70.4
Luke GoedekeT
69.9
Bucky IrvingHB
69.0
Chris GodwinWR
65.1
Emeka EgbukaWR
62.6
CAR
Bryce YoungQB
85.2
Chuba HubbardHB
82.9
Tetairoa McMillanWR
80.4
Damien LewisG
78.1
Jalen CokerWR
75.0

QB Matchup

Each team's real current starting QB (per PFF's own depth chart) -- season-to-date PFF grades and passing profile, ranked against the league's other starters. A stat reads “—” when that player has no recorded snaps for it yet this season (e.g. just back from injury).

TBJalon Daniels
VS
CARBryce Young
TB
48.0
32nd / 35
Overall Grade
CAR
85.2
6th / 35
TB
60.6
31st / 35
Clean Pocket Grade
CAR
91.4
4th / 35
TB
25.8
35th / 35
Pressure Grade
CAR
62.3
6th / 35
TB
1.0%
35th / 35
Big Time Throw %
CAR
4.2%
11th / 35
TB
3.8%
20th / 35
Turnover Worthy %
CAR
0.9%
3rd / 35
TB
3.09s
25th / 35
Avg Time To Throw
CAR
2.85s
17th / 35
TB
6.5
32nd / 35
Avg Depth of Target
CAR
10.0
5th / 35

Efficiency and Scoring

Season-to-date EPA, success rate, and scoring, with each figure's league rank.

Offense
TBCAR
-0.1229th/32
EPA / Play
+0.136th/32
-0.1931st/32
EPA / Play (Passing)
+0.196th/32
+0.009th/32
EPA / Play (Rushing)
+0.017th/32
40.6%26th/32
Success Rate
45.0%15th/32
40.1%30th/32
Success Rate (Passing)
45.0%19th/32
41.5%14th/32
Success Rate (Rushing)
45.1%6th/32
20.025th/32
Points Per Game
30.34th/32
Defense
TBCAR
-0.084th/32
EPA / Play
-0.0118th/32
-0.0212th/32
EPA / Play (Passing)
+0.0015th/32
-0.182nd/32
EPA / Play (Rushing)
-0.0225th/32
42.6%6th/32
Success Rate
43.2%8th/32
47.7%21st/32
Success Rate (Passing)
45.2%11th/32
33.1%1st/32
Success Rate (Rushing)
39.3%9th/32
22.414th/32
Points Per Game
27.326th/32

Pressure Matchup

Each team's O-line pressure allowed against the other team's pass rush generated.

When Tampa Bay Buccaneers have the ball
TB pressure allowed32.6%8th of 32
→
CAR pressure generated39.4%8th of 32
When Carolina Panthers have the ball
CAR pressure allowed44.5%30th of 32
→
TB pressure generated27.7%31st of 32

Team Grades

Both teams' own season-to-date PFF grades, side by side.

Grades ranked all 32 teams
TB
67.6
28th / 32
Overall
CAR
80.8
3rd / 32
TB
57.9
30th / 32
Offense
CAR
78.6
4th / 32
TB
72.2
5th / 32
Defense
CAR
63.9
20th / 32
TB
80.8
15th / 32
Special Teams
CAR
87.1
9th / 32
TB
50.5
29th / 32
Passing Offense
CAR
81.7
4th / 32
TB
68.0
22nd / 32
Rushing Offense
CAR
78.6
10th / 32
TB
60.4
29th / 32
Receiving
CAR
77.5
3rd / 32
TB
58.9
27th / 32
Offensive Line
CAR
66.2
11th / 32
TB
70.5
13th / 32
Pass Rush
CAR
71.8
9th / 32
TB
69.5
10th / 32
Coverage
CAR
64.2
15th / 32
TB
71.5
4th / 32
Run Defense
CAR
52.2
30th / 32
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