PIT60%
Sun 9:30 AM ET
40%NO
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Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints — Win Probability

Sun 9:30 AM ET
Pittsburgh Steelers logo
Pittsburgh Steelers
4-2
60%
VS
New Orleans Saints logo
New Orleans Saints
2-4
40%
Market line: PIT -3.5, total 44.5 · Model expected score: Pittsburgh Steelers 24.0 – New Orleans Saints 20.5
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Injury Report

The latest official designations and practice participation for both teams.

PIT
  • WRBen SkowronekDNP
  • CBBrandin EcholsDNP
  • CBJalen RamseyDNP
  • DESebastian Joseph-DayDNP
  • LBAlex HighsmithLimited
  • RBRico DowdleLimited
  • SDeShon ElliottFull
NO
  • QBTyler ShoughFull
  • GCesar RuizDNP
  • RBAlvin KamaraLimited
  • LBAnfernee JenningsLimited
  • RBCJ DonaldsonLimited
  • LBKaden EllissLimited
  • CBKool-Aid McKinstryFull
  • DTNathan ShepherdFull
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Margin of Victory — New Orleans Saints (Home)

How often each outcome happened for New Orleans Saints, across every simulated version of this game.

Lost / Tied
60%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14
12%
Won by 15-21
6%
Won by 21+
3%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line.

O/U LINE 30
86% over14% under
O/U LINE 40
63% over37% under
O/U LINE 44
51% over49% under
O/U LINE 44.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under
O/U LINE 48
40% over60% under
O/U LINE 52
29% over71% under
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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Highest Graded Players

Season-to-date PFF grades for each team's top graded players, minimum 25% of that side's snaps.

PIT
Mason McCormickG
78.1
Jaylen WarrenHB
78.1
Zach FrazierC
77.1
Dylan CookT
76.4
Darnell WashingtonTE
72.3
NO
Chris OlaveWR
87.1
Erik McCoyC
74.6
Tyler ShoughQB
74.5
Juwan JohnsonTE
71.5
Devaughn VeleWR
71.3

QB Matchup

Each team's real current starting QB (per PFF's own depth chart) -- season-to-date PFF grades and passing profile, ranked against the league's other starters. A stat reads “—” when that player has no recorded snaps for it yet this season (e.g. just back from injury).

PITAaron Rodgers
VS
NOTyler Shough
PIT
65.3
21st / 35
Overall Grade
NO
74.5
14th / 35
PIT
71.5
26th / 35
Clean Pocket Grade
NO
86.2
13th / 35
PIT
50.7
13th / 35
Pressure Grade
NO
51.6
11th / 35
PIT
3.2%
23rd / 35
Big Time Throw %
NO
4.0%
17th / 35
PIT
2.1%
10th / 35
Turnover Worthy %
NO
1.8%
7th / 35
PIT
2.61s
5th / 35
Avg Time To Throw
NO
2.72s
10th / 35
PIT
7.5
25th / 35
Avg Depth of Target
NO
8.2
19th / 35

Efficiency and Scoring

Season-to-date EPA, success rate, and scoring, with each figure's league rank.

Offense
PITNO
-0.0824th/32
EPA / Play
-0.0217th/32
-0.1124th/32
EPA / Play (Passing)
+0.0120th/32
-0.0110th/32
EPA / Play (Rushing)
-0.0719th/32
42.4%22nd/32
Success Rate
44.8%16th/32
43.7%23rd/32
Success Rate (Passing)
47.1%17th/32
39.8%21st/32
Success Rate (Rushing)
40.7%17th/32
22.218th/32
Points Per Game
23.616th/32
Defense
PITNO
-0.075th/32
EPA / Play
+0.0927th/32
-0.075th/32
EPA / Play (Passing)
+0.1022nd/32
-0.0618th/32
EPA / Play (Rushing)
+0.0732nd/32
43.8%12th/32
Success Rate
50.5%32nd/32
45.4%12th/32
Success Rate (Passing)
52.4%28th/32
41.3%17th/32
Success Rate (Rushing)
47.8%32nd/32
21.810th/32
Points Per Game
30.231st/32

Pressure Matchup

Each team's O-line pressure allowed against the other team's pass rush generated.

When Pittsburgh Steelers have the ball
PIT pressure allowed34.1%13th of 32
→
NO pressure generated28.1%30th of 32
When New Orleans Saints have the ball
NO pressure allowed37.7%21st of 32
→
PIT pressure generated33.9%23rd of 32

Team Grades

Both teams' own season-to-date PFF grades, side by side.

Grades ranked all 32 teams
PIT
79.7
8th / 32
Overall
NO
74.2
17th / 32
PIT
71.4
17th / 32
Offense
NO
71.7
16th / 32
PIT
77.6
1st / 32
Defense
NO
61.6
24th / 32
PIT
59.1
31st / 32
Special Teams
NO
91.3
2nd / 32
PIT
67.2
19th / 32
Passing Offense
NO
72.7
11th / 32
PIT
78.7
9th / 32
Rushing Offense
NO
56.2
31st / 32
PIT
64.8
28th / 32
Receiving
NO
76.3
10th / 32
PIT
71.0
4th / 32
Offensive Line
NO
62.2
21st / 32
PIT
74.0
6th / 32
Pass Rush
NO
67.9
21st / 32
PIT
72.2
7th / 32
Coverage
NO
55.3
22nd / 32
PIT
78.5
1st / 32
Run Defense
NO
59.0
22nd / 32
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