NYG22%▲
Sun 1:00 PM ET
78%HOU
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New York Giants vs Houston Texans — Win Probability

Sun 1:00 PM ET
New York Giants logo
New York Giants
3-2-1
22%
VS
Houston Texans logo
Houston Texans
2-4
78%
Market line: HOU -10.5, total 42.5 · Model expected score: New York Giants 16.0 – Houston Texans 26.5
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Injury Report

The latest official designations and practice participation for both teams.

NYG
  • TAndrew ThomasDNP
  • CBGreg Newsome IIDNP
  • TJermaine EluemunorDNP
  • SJevon HollandDNP
  • TMarcus MbowDNP
  • LBTremaine EdmundsDNP
  • WRCharlie JonesLimited
  • CBColton HoodLimited
  • PJordan StoutLimited
  • LBKayvon ThibodeauxLimited
  • CBPaulson AdeboLimited
  • TETheo JohnsonLimited
  • STyler NubinLimited
  • WRDarnell MooneyFull
  • TEThomas Fidone IIFull
HOU
  • LBAzeez Al-ShaairDNP
  • TBlake FisherDNP
  • TEDalton SchultzDNP
  • RBDavid MontgomeryDNP
  • SJalen PitreDNP
  • SReed BlankenshipDNP
  • TTrent BrownDNP
  • LBHenry To'oTo'oLimited
  • DEJadeveon ClowneyLimited
  • DELogan HallLimited
  • WRTank DellFull
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Margin of Victory — Houston Texans (Home)

How often each outcome happened for Houston Texans, across every simulated version of this game.

Lost / Tied
22%
Won by 1-3
7%
Won by 4-7
11%
Won by 8-14
21%
Won by 15-21
18%
Won by 21+
21%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line.

O/U LINE 30
82% over18% under
O/U LINE 40
58% over42% under
O/U LINE 42.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under
O/U LINE 44
46% over54% under
O/U LINE 48
34% over66% under
O/U LINE 52
24% over76% under

Projected Margin Range — Houston Texans (Home)

Negative means Houston Texans lost by that many points. The shaded band is the 25th–75th percentile; the dot is the median.

P05: -11
Median: +10
P95: +32

Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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Highest Graded Players

Season-to-date PFF grades for each team's top graded players, minimum 25% of that side's snaps.

NYG
Malik NabersWR
81.7
Isaiah LikelyTE
80.8
Andrew ThomasT
76.3
Jermaine EluemunorT
72.7
Bryan HudsonC
66.4
HOU
C.J. StroudQB
85.7
Nico CollinsWR
84.2
Jaylin NoelWR
81.0
Xavier HutchinsonWR
72.8
Wyatt TellerG
69.4

QB Matchup

Each team's real current starting QB (per PFF's own depth chart) -- season-to-date PFF grades and passing profile, ranked against the league's other starters. A stat reads “—” when that player has no recorded snaps for it yet this season (e.g. just back from injury).

NYGJameis Winston
VS
HOUC.J. Stroud
NYG
52.8
30th / 35
Overall Grade
HOU
85.7
5th / 35
NYG
56.4
35th / 35
Clean Pocket Grade
HOU
88.2
9th / 35
NYG
43.1
19th / 35
Pressure Grade
HOU
65.9
3rd / 35
NYG
4.2%
11th / 35
Big Time Throw %
HOU
5.9%
4th / 35
NYG
4.2%
22nd / 35
Turnover Worthy %
HOU
1.1%
5th / 35
NYG
2.69s
8th / 35
Avg Time To Throw
HOU
2.80s
16th / 35
NYG
9.1
9th / 35
Avg Depth of Target
HOU
10.4
2nd / 35

Efficiency and Scoring

Season-to-date EPA, success rate, and scoring, with each figure's league rank.

Offense
NYGHOU
-0.0218th/32
EPA / Play
+0.0611th/32
+0.0617th/32
EPA / Play (Passing)
+0.169th/32
-0.1526th/32
EPA / Play (Rushing)
-0.1223rd/32
42.7%21st/32
Success Rate
44.4%19th/32
46.3%18th/32
Success Rate (Passing)
49.8%14th/32
37.3%26th/32
Success Rate (Rushing)
34.6%31st/32
21.821st/32
Points Per Game
22.019th/32
Defense
NYGHOU
+0.0321st/32
EPA / Play
+0.0220th/32
+0.0820th/32
EPA / Play (Passing)
+0.0921st/32
-0.0421st/32
EPA / Play (Rushing)
-0.108th/32
46.9%25th/32
Success Rate
44.4%15th/32
48.4%22nd/32
Success Rate (Passing)
45.5%13th/32
44.9%27th/32
Success Rate (Rushing)
42.3%19th/32
21.29th/32
Points Per Game
22.414th/32

Pressure Matchup

Each team's O-line pressure allowed against the other team's pass rush generated.

When New York Giants have the ball
NYG pressure allowed31.7%6th of 32
→
HOU pressure generated37.1%14th of 32
When Houston Texans have the ball
HOU pressure allowed33.6%11th of 32
→
NYG pressure generated25.8%32nd of 32

Team Grades

Both teams' own season-to-date PFF grades, side by side.

Grades ranked all 32 teams
NYG
75.5
13th / 32
Overall
HOU
76.1
12th / 32
NYG
68.0
22nd / 32
Offense
HOU
72.3
12th / 32
NYG
73.1
3rd / 32
Defense
HOU
66.9
15th / 32
NYG
85.1
12th / 32
Special Teams
HOU
60.7
30th / 32
NYG
60.0
22nd / 32
Passing Offense
HOU
70.4
16th / 32
NYG
64.5
26th / 32
Rushing Offense
HOU
72.3
16th / 32
NYG
72.3
15th / 32
Receiving
HOU
77.2
5th / 32
NYG
66.8
10th / 32
Offensive Line
HOU
59.6
26th / 32
NYG
67.2
24th / 32
Pass Rush
HOU
69.8
15th / 32
NYG
77.0
4th / 32
Coverage
HOU
56.0
21st / 32
NYG
65.3
11th / 32
Run Defense
HOU
69.4
6th / 32
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