KC43%
Sun 8:20 PM ET
57%SEA
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Kansas City Chiefs vs Seattle Seahawks — Win Probability

Sun 8:20 PM ET
Kansas City Chiefs logo
Kansas City Chiefs
5-0
43%
VS
Seattle Seahawks logo
Seattle Seahawks
3-3
57%
Market line: SEA -2.5, total 42.5 · Model expected score: Kansas City Chiefs 20.0 – Seattle Seahawks 22.5
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Injury Report

The latest official designations and practice participation for both teams.

KC
  • QBPatrick MahomesFull
  • TJaylon MooreDNP
  • TJosh SimmonsDNP
  • WRRashee RiceDNP
  • LBCooper McDonaldLimited
  • CBL'Jarius SneedLimited
  • TETravis KelceLimited
  • SChamarri ConnerFull
  • WRCyrus AllenFull
  • GTrey SmithFull
SEA
  • QBDrew LockLimited
  • LBChazz SurrattDNP
  • LBConnor O'TooleDNP
  • LBDrake ThomasDNP
  • GAnthony BradfordLimited
  • GBeau StephensLimited
  • WRRashid ShaheedLimited
  • LBTyrice KnightLimited
  • WRIrvin CharlesFull
  • RBZach CharbonnetFull
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Margin of Victory — Seattle Seahawks (Home)

How often each outcome happened for Seattle Seahawks, across every simulated version of this game.

Lost / Tied
43%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
17%
Won by 15-21
11%
Won by 21+
8%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line.

O/U LINE 30
83% over17% under
O/U LINE 40
57% over43% under
O/U LINE 42.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under
O/U LINE 44
45% over55% under
O/U LINE 48
34% over66% under
O/U LINE 52
24% over76% under
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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Highest Graded Players

Season-to-date PFF grades for each team's top graded players, minimum 25% of that side's snaps.

KC
Kenneth Walker IIIHB
90.8
Patrick MahomesQB
85.0
Travis KelceTE
82.1
Trey SmithG
80.4
Tyquan ThorntonWR
71.4
SEA
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR
92.2
Drew LockQB
92.1
Charles CrossT
79.1
Abraham LucasT
68.4
Cooper KuppWR
65.5

QB Matchup

Each team's real current starting QB (per PFF's own depth chart) -- season-to-date PFF grades and passing profile, ranked against the league's other starters. A stat reads “—” when that player has no recorded snaps for it yet this season (e.g. just back from injury).

KCPatrick Mahomes
VS
SEASam Darnold
KC
85.0
7th / 35
Overall Grade
SEA
64.2
25th / 35
KC
88.8
8th / 35
Clean Pocket Grade
SEA
79.7
20th / 35
KC
62.8
5th / 35
Pressure Grade
SEA
38.9
24th / 35
KC
6.0%
3rd / 35
Big Time Throw %
SEA
4.5%
10th / 35
KC
1.6%
6th / 35
Turnover Worthy %
SEA
5.7%
32nd / 35
KC
2.65s
7th / 35
Avg Time To Throw
SEA
3.08s
24th / 35
KC
7.0
29th / 35
Avg Depth of Target
SEA
8.1
21st / 35

Efficiency and Scoring

Season-to-date EPA, success rate, and scoring, with each figure's league rank.

Offense
KCSEA
+0.145th/32
EPA / Play
-0.0723rd/32
+0.188th/32
EPA / Play (Passing)
+0.0419th/32
+0.081st/32
EPA / Play (Rushing)
-0.2230th/32
49.2%7th/32
Success Rate
44.6%18th/32
52.6%4th/32
Success Rate (Passing)
47.5%16th/32
44.8%8th/32
Success Rate (Rushing)
40.5%18th/32
29.55th/32
Points Per Game
26.88th/32
Defense
KCSEA
-0.113rd/32
EPA / Play
-0.142nd/32
-0.123rd/32
EPA / Play (Passing)
-0.132nd/32
-0.0910th/32
EPA / Play (Rushing)
-0.174th/32
39.3%2nd/32
Success Rate
40.6%3rd/32
42.4%3rd/32
Success Rate (Passing)
44.2%7th/32
33.9%2nd/32
Success Rate (Rushing)
35.2%4th/32
19.37th/32
Points Per Game
21.08th/32

Pressure Matchup

Each team's O-line pressure allowed against the other team's pass rush generated.

When Kansas City Chiefs have the ball
KC pressure allowed33.1%10th of 32
→
SEA pressure generated44.2%2nd of 32
When Seattle Seahawks have the ball
SEA pressure allowed43.0%28th of 32
→
KC pressure generated38.4%12th of 32

Team Grades

Both teams' own season-to-date PFF grades, side by side.

Grades ranked all 32 teams
KC
80.6
4th / 32
Overall
SEA
73.4
18th / 32
KC
78.1
6th / 32
Offense
SEA
70.0
20th / 32
KC
67.3
14th / 32
Defense
SEA
70.5
10th / 32
KC
66.6
27th / 32
Special Teams
SEA
52.1
32nd / 32
KC
78.1
7th / 32
Passing Offense
SEA
74.7
8th / 32
KC
85.3
1st / 32
Rushing Offense
SEA
53.1
32nd / 32
KC
72.3
15th / 32
Receiving
SEA
73.1
14th / 32
KC
69.7
7th / 32
Offensive Line
SEA
66.0
12th / 32
KC
71.6
10th / 32
Pass Rush
SEA
68.6
18th / 32
KC
62.7
16th / 32
Coverage
SEA
82.5
2nd / 32
KC
65.2
12th / 32
Run Defense
SEA
56.0
25th / 32
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