IND31%
Sun 1:00 PM ET
69%MIN
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Indianapolis Colts vs Minnesota Vikings — Win Probability

Sun 1:00 PM ET
Indianapolis Colts logo
Indianapolis Colts
2-4
31%
VS
Minnesota Vikings logo
Minnesota Vikings
5-0
69%
Market line: MIN -6.5, total 41.5 · Model expected score: Indianapolis Colts 17.5 – Minnesota Vikings 24.0
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Injury Report

The latest official designations and practice participation for both teams.

IND
  • TEAndrew OgletreeDNP
  • WRAnthony GouldDNP
  • LBBryce BoettcherDNP
  • CBJustin WalleyDNP
  • GMatt GoncalvesDNP
  • PRigoberto SanchezDNP
  • CBSauce GardnerDNP
  • TETyler WarrenDNP
  • WRAshton DulinLimited
  • LBAustin AjiakeLimited
  • TJalen TravisLimited
  • LBJaylon CarliesLimited
MIN
  • TBrian O'NeillLimited
  • CBJames PierreLimited
  • WRJustin JeffersonLimited
  • CBCharles DemmingsFull
  • TChristian DarrisawFull
  • WRJordan AddisonFull
  • RBJordan MasonFull
  • TET.J. HockensonFull
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Margin of Victory — Minnesota Vikings (Home)

How often each outcome happened for Minnesota Vikings, across every simulated version of this game.

Lost / Tied
31%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
20%
Won by 15-21
15%
Won by 21+
13%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line.

O/U LINE 30
81% over19% under
O/U LINE 40
55% over45% under
O/U LINE 41.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under
O/U LINE 44
43% over57% under
O/U LINE 48
31% over69% under
O/U LINE 52
22% over78% under
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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Highest Graded Players

Season-to-date PFF grades for each team's top graded players, minimum 25% of that side's snaps.

IND
Quenton NelsonG
89.2
Matt GoncalvesG
75.8
Bernhard RaimannT
74.5
Tyler WarrenTE
73.1
Josh DownsWR
72.0
MIN
Justin JeffersonWR
85.3
T.J. HockensonTE
77.5
Kyler MurrayQB
72.7
Josh OliverTE
66.7
Christian DarrisawT
66.2

QB Matchup

Each team's real current starting QB (per PFF's own depth chart) -- season-to-date PFF grades and passing profile, ranked against the league's other starters. A stat reads “—” when that player has no recorded snaps for it yet this season (e.g. just back from injury).

INDDaniel Jones
VS
MINKyler Murray
IND
51.4
31st / 35
Overall Grade
MIN
72.7
16th / 35
IND
60.6
31st / 35
Clean Pocket Grade
MIN
83.5
17th / 35
IND
36.1
27th / 35
Pressure Grade
MIN
50.1
14th / 35
IND
2.7%
28th / 35
Big Time Throw %
MIN
2.8%
27th / 35
IND
6.0%
35th / 35
Turnover Worthy %
MIN
0.8%
2nd / 35
IND
2.77s
14th / 35
Avg Time To Throw
MIN
3.25s
33rd / 35
IND
8.4
17th / 35
Avg Depth of Target
MIN
7.0
29th / 35

Efficiency and Scoring

Season-to-date EPA, success rate, and scoring, with each figure's league rank.

Offense
INDMIN
-0.0522nd/32
EPA / Play
-0.0825th/32
-0.1227th/32
EPA / Play (Passing)
-0.0423rd/32
+0.073rd/32
EPA / Play (Rushing)
-0.1324th/32
43.0%20th/32
Success Rate
39.7%28th/32
42.3%25th/32
Success Rate (Passing)
40.9%28th/32
44.0%12th/32
Success Rate (Rushing)
38.2%24th/32
24.811th/32
Points Per Game
21.821st/32
Defense
INDMIN
+0.0724th/32
EPA / Play
-0.181st/32
+0.1223rd/32
EPA / Play (Passing)
-0.191st/32
-0.0029th/32
EPA / Play (Rushing)
-0.155th/32
45.3%21st/32
Success Rate
35.9%1st/32
46.7%17th/32
Success Rate (Passing)
36.5%1st/32
43.4%23rd/32
Success Rate (Rushing)
35.0%3rd/32
27.627th/32
Points Per Game
12.81st/32

Pressure Matchup

Each team's O-line pressure allowed against the other team's pass rush generated.

When Indianapolis Colts have the ball
IND pressure allowed36.9%19th of 32
→
MIN pressure generated46.4%1st of 32
When Minnesota Vikings have the ball
MIN pressure allowed36.3%17th of 32
→
IND pressure generated28.6%29th of 32

Team Grades

Both teams' own season-to-date PFF grades, side by side.

Grades ranked all 32 teams
IND
72.5
21st / 32
Overall
MIN
73.1
19th / 32
IND
69.3
21st / 32
Offense
MIN
62.9
28th / 32
IND
60.0
27th / 32
Defense
MIN
70.7
9th / 32
IND
84.2
14th / 32
Special Teams
MIN
90.8
4th / 32
IND
48.6
30th / 32
Passing Offense
MIN
57.2
23rd / 32
IND
68.1
21st / 32
Rushing Offense
MIN
63.1
27th / 32
IND
71.0
19th / 32
Receiving
MIN
68.1
22nd / 32
IND
71.0
2nd / 32
Offensive Line
MIN
60.5
25th / 32
IND
69.9
14th / 32
Pass Rush
MIN
69.8
15th / 32
IND
46.3
28th / 32
Coverage
MIN
58.1
19th / 32
IND
60.3
20th / 32
Run Defense
MIN
76.2
2nd / 32
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