GB41%
Sun 4:25 PM ET
59%DET
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Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions — Win Probability

Sun 4:25 PM ET
Green Bay Packers logo
Green Bay Packers
4-2
41%
VS
Detroit Lions logo
Detroit Lions
3-2
59%
Market line: DET -3.0, total 53.5 · Model expected score: Green Bay Packers 25.3 – Detroit Lions 28.2
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Injury Report

The latest official designations and practice participation for both teams.

GB
  • QBJordan LoveLimited
  • WRBo MeltonDNP
  • GAaron BanksLimited
  • DTAnthony CampbellLimited
  • CBBenjamin St-JusteLimited
  • CBBrandon CisseLimited
  • WRChristian WatsonLimited
  • DTJordon RileyLimited
  • WRMatthew GoldenLimited
  • WRSavion WilliamsLimited
DET
  • CBRock Ya-SinLimited
  • SBrian BranchFull
  • CCade MaysFull
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Margin of Victory — Detroit Lions (Home)

How often each outcome happened for Detroit Lions, across every simulated version of this game.

Lost / Tied
41%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
18%
Won by 15-21
12%
Won by 21+
9%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line.

O/U LINE 30
96% over4% under
O/U LINE 40
84% over16% under
O/U LINE 44
76% over24% under
O/U LINE 48
66% over34% under
O/U LINE 52
55% over45% under
O/U LINE 53.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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Highest Graded Players

Season-to-date PFF grades for each team's top graded players, minimum 25% of that side's snaps.

GB
Matthew GoldenWR
76.3
Christian WatsonWR
74.2
Jordan LoveQB
74.0
Mark RedmanTE
66.3
Sean RhyanC
59.2
DET
Penei SewellT
90.9
Jahmyr GibbsHB
88.3
Christian MahoganyG
86.4
Jared GoffQB
86.3
Sam LaPortaTE
80.6

QB Matchup

Each team's real current starting QB (per PFF's own depth chart) -- season-to-date PFF grades and passing profile, ranked against the league's other starters. A stat reads “—” when that player has no recorded snaps for it yet this season (e.g. just back from injury).

GBJordan Love
VS
DETJared Goff
GB
74.0
15th / 35
Overall Grade
DET
86.3
4th / 35
GB
90.4
6th / 35
Clean Pocket Grade
DET
88.1
10th / 35
GB
38.7
25th / 35
Pressure Grade
DET
71.6
2nd / 35
GB
6.2%
2nd / 35
Big Time Throw %
DET
4.6%
9th / 35
GB
4.2%
22nd / 35
Turnover Worthy %
DET
0.5%
1st / 35
GB
2.48s
1st / 35
Avg Time To Throw
DET
2.76s
13th / 35
GB
9.5
6th / 35
Avg Depth of Target
DET
8.8
12th / 35

Efficiency and Scoring

Season-to-date EPA, success rate, and scoring, with each figure's league rank.

Offense
GBDET
-0.0219th/32
EPA / Play
+0.193rd/32
+0.1015th/32
EPA / Play (Passing)
+0.293rd/32
-0.2532nd/32
EPA / Play (Rushing)
+0.036th/32
40.9%23rd/32
Success Rate
51.8%2nd/32
44.0%21st/32
Success Rate (Passing)
53.6%3rd/32
34.7%29th/32
Success Rate (Rushing)
48.8%2nd/32
20.824th/32
Points Per Game
32.81st/32
Defense
GBDET
-0.066th/32
EPA / Play
+0.1631st/32
-0.114th/32
EPA / Play (Passing)
+0.2428th/32
+0.0130th/32
EPA / Play (Rushing)
-0.0126th/32
45.0%18th/32
Success Rate
49.6%31st/32
44.5%8th/32
Success Rate (Passing)
54.5%30th/32
45.8%31st/32
Success Rate (Rushing)
39.1%7th/32
22.414th/32
Points Per Game
29.629th/32

Pressure Matchup

Each team's O-line pressure allowed against the other team's pass rush generated.

When Green Bay Packers have the ball
GB pressure allowed36.6%18th of 32
→
DET pressure generated36.9%17th of 32
When Detroit Lions have the ball
DET pressure allowed33.7%12th of 32
→
GB pressure generated35.1%21st of 32

Team Grades

Both teams' own season-to-date PFF grades, side by side.

Grades ranked all 32 teams
GB
71.3
23rd / 32
Overall
DET
83.3
1st / 32
GB
63.2
27th / 32
Offense
DET
79.2
2nd / 32
GB
71.7
7th / 32
Defense
DET
71.9
6th / 32
GB
75.5
22nd / 32
Special Teams
DET
75.7
19th / 32
GB
73.8
9th / 32
Passing Offense
DET
79.0
6th / 32
GB
59.7
30th / 32
Rushing Offense
DET
76.0
13th / 32
GB
67.0
23rd / 32
Receiving
DET
76.8
6th / 32
GB
50.0
32nd / 32
Offensive Line
DET
71.0
2nd / 32
GB
68.3
19th / 32
Pass Rush
DET
83.5
1st / 32
GB
76.8
5th / 32
Coverage
DET
52.1
24th / 32
GB
68.2
7th / 32
Run Defense
DET
72.6
3rd / 32
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