DEN62%
Sun 4:05 PM ET
38%ARI
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Denver Broncos vs Arizona Cardinals — Win Probability

Sun 4:05 PM ET
Denver Broncos logo
Denver Broncos
4-2
62%
VS
Arizona Cardinals logo
Arizona Cardinals
2-4
38%
Market line: DEN -4.0, total 43.5 · Model expected score: Denver Broncos 23.7 – Arizona Cardinals 19.7
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Injury Report

The latest official designations and practice participation for both teams.

DEN
  • LBJonah EllissDNP
  • STalanoa HufangaDNP
  • RBTyler BadieDNP
  • WRJaylen WaddleLimited
  • CBPat Surtain IILimited
  • RBJonah ColemanFull
  • CBRiley MossFull
ARI
  • QBCarson BeckLimited
  • SAndrew WingardDNP
  • SBudda BakerDNP
  • CBGarrett WilliamsDNP
  • TJedrick WillsDNP
  • RBJeremiyah LoveDNP
  • DTWalter NolenDNP
  • CBMax MeltonLimited
  • SWydett Williams Jr.Limited
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Margin of Victory — Arizona Cardinals (Home)

How often each outcome happened for Arizona Cardinals, across every simulated version of this game.

Lost / Tied
62%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14
12%
Won by 15-21
6%
Won by 21+
3%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line.

O/U LINE 30
84% over16% under
O/U LINE 40
60% over40% under
O/U LINE 43.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under
O/U LINE 44
48% over52% under
O/U LINE 48
37% over63% under
O/U LINE 52
26% over74% under
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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Highest Graded Players

Season-to-date PFF grades for each team's top graded players, minimum 25% of that side's snaps.

DEN
Quinn MeinerzG
87.0
Garett BollesT
81.6
Luke WattenbergC
68.0
Jaylen WaddleWR
65.7
Pat BryantWR
64.8
ARI
Elijah HigginsTE
86.2
Jacoby BrissettQB
80.3
Paris Johnson Jr.T
77.6
Michael WilsonWR
73.9
Jon Gaines IIG
71.9

QB Matchup

Each team's real current starting QB (per PFF's own depth chart) -- season-to-date PFF grades and passing profile, ranked against the league's other starters. A stat reads “—” when that player has no recorded snaps for it yet this season (e.g. just back from injury).

DENBo Nix
VS
ARIJacoby Brissett
DEN
46.6
33rd / 35
Overall Grade
ARI
80.3
10th / 35
DEN
69.3
28th / 35
Clean Pocket Grade
ARI
83.6
16th / 35
DEN
28.2
34th / 35
Pressure Grade
ARI
45.8
17th / 35
DEN
2.4%
29th / 35
Big Time Throw %
ARI
2.0%
30th / 35
DEN
5.0%
29th / 35
Turnover Worthy %
ARI
2.3%
12th / 35
DEN
2.97s
20th / 35
Avg Time To Throw
ARI
2.52s
2nd / 35
DEN
6.3
33rd / 35
Avg Depth of Target
ARI
7.4
27th / 35

Efficiency and Scoring

Season-to-date EPA, success rate, and scoring, with each figure's league rank.

Offense
DENARI
-0.0926th/32
EPA / Play
-0.0216th/32
-0.1226th/32
EPA / Play (Passing)
-0.0021st/32
-0.0414th/32
EPA / Play (Rushing)
-0.0415th/32
38.1%32nd/32
Success Rate
49.0%8th/32
39.4%31st/32
Success Rate (Passing)
51.6%8th/32
36.2%28th/32
Success Rate (Rushing)
44.7%9th/32
19.426th/32
Points Per Game
21.623rd/32
Defense
DENARI
-0.0411th/32
EPA / Play
+0.1129th/32
-0.047th/32
EPA / Play (Passing)
+0.2830th/32
-0.0420th/32
EPA / Play (Rushing)
-0.109th/32
42.8%7th/32
Success Rate
47.4%26th/32
44.8%10th/32
Success Rate (Passing)
49.2%24th/32
39.6%10th/32
Success Rate (Rushing)
45.2%28th/32
22.213th/32
Points Per Game
32.432nd/32

Pressure Matchup

Each team's O-line pressure allowed against the other team's pass rush generated.

When Denver Broncos have the ball
DEN pressure allowed38.9%24th of 32
→
ARI pressure generated30.4%27th of 32
When Arizona Cardinals have the ball
ARI pressure allowed25.8%1st of 32
→
DEN pressure generated41.6%5th of 32

Team Grades

Both teams' own season-to-date PFF grades, side by side.

Grades ranked all 32 teams
DEN
71.2
24th / 32
Overall
ARI
76.6
11th / 32
DEN
64.1
25th / 32
Offense
ARI
80.5
1st / 32
DEN
69.9
11th / 32
Defense
ARI
51.4
32nd / 32
DEN
84.6
13th / 32
Special Teams
ARI
91.2
3rd / 32
DEN
54.0
26th / 32
Passing Offense
ARI
85.5
1st / 32
DEN
67.4
24th / 32
Rushing Offense
ARI
84.0
2nd / 32
DEN
67.0
23rd / 32
Receiving
ARI
77.5
3rd / 32
DEN
61.1
23rd / 32
Offensive Line
ARI
65.7
13th / 32
DEN
82.8
2nd / 32
Pass Rush
ARI
68.2
20th / 32
DEN
66.5
12th / 32
Coverage
ARI
39.0
32nd / 32
DEN
55.7
26th / 32
Run Defense
ARI
51.8
31st / 32
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