DAL62%
Mon 8:15 PM ET
38%PHI
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Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles — Win Probability

Mon 8:15 PM ET
Dallas Cowboys logo
Dallas Cowboys
2-4
62%
VS
Philadelphia Eagles logo
Philadelphia Eagles
2-4
38%
Market line: DAL -4.0, total 44.5 · Model expected score: Dallas Cowboys 24.2 – Philadelphia Eagles 20.3
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Margin of Victory — Philadelphia Eagles (Home)

How often each outcome happened for Philadelphia Eagles, across every simulated version of this game.

Lost / Tied
62%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14
12%
Won by 15-21
6%
Won by 21+
3%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line.

O/U LINE 30
86% over14% under
O/U LINE 40
63% over37% under
O/U LINE 44
52% over48% under
O/U LINE 44.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under
O/U LINE 48
40% over60% under
O/U LINE 52
29% over71% under
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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Highest Graded Players

Season-to-date PFF grades for each team's top graded players, minimum 25% of that side's snaps.

DAL
CeeDee LambWR
88.6
Dak PrescottQB
83.2
Tyler BookerG
76.0
Tyler SmithG
75.6
George PickensWR
74.6
PHI
DeVonta SmithWR
90.5
Jordan MailataT
80.6
Lane JohnsonT
79.8
Dallas GoedertTE
76.2
Dontayvion WicksWR
68.9

QB Matchup

Each team's real current starting QB (per PFF's own depth chart) -- season-to-date PFF grades and passing profile, ranked against the league's other starters. A stat reads “—” when that player has no recorded snaps for it yet this season (e.g. just back from injury).

DALDak Prescott
VS
PHITanner McKee
DAL
83.2
8th / 35
Overall Grade
PHI
70.9
of 35
DAL
92.4
2nd / 35
Clean Pocket Grade
PHI
75.8
of 35
DAL
51.0
12th / 35
Pressure Grade
PHI
55.0
of 35
DAL
3.4%
21st / 35
Big Time Throw %
PHI
2.1%
of 35
DAL
2.4%
13th / 35
Turnover Worthy %
PHI
0.0%
of 35
DAL
2.75s
12th / 35
Avg Time To Throw
PHI
2.30s
of 35
DAL
7.8
22nd / 35
Avg Depth of Target
PHI
8.4
of 35

Efficiency and Scoring

Season-to-date EPA, success rate, and scoring, with each figure's league rank.

Offense
DALPHI
+0.098th/32
EPA / Play
-0.1330th/32
+0.1212th/32
EPA / Play (Passing)
-0.1225th/32
+0.018th/32
EPA / Play (Rushing)
-0.1727th/32
50.9%3rd/32
Success Rate
39.4%31st/32
52.5%5th/32
Success Rate (Passing)
40.1%29th/32
47.3%4th/32
Success Rate (Rushing)
38.1%25th/32
27.67th/32
Points Per Game
18.429th/32
Defense
DALPHI
+0.1832nd/32
EPA / Play
+0.0826th/32
+0.3732nd/32
EPA / Play (Passing)
+0.1324th/32
-0.0419th/32
EPA / Play (Rushing)
+0.0131st/32
49.5%30th/32
Success Rate
45.1%19th/32
56.5%31st/32
Success Rate (Passing)
46.4%16th/32
40.9%15th/32
Success Rate (Rushing)
43.2%22nd/32
27.225th/32
Points Per Game
22.414th/32

Pressure Matchup

Each team's O-line pressure allowed against the other team's pass rush generated.

When Dallas Cowboys have the ball
DAL pressure allowed34.3%14th of 32
→
PHI pressure generated32.9%25th of 32
When Philadelphia Eagles have the ball
PHI pressure allowed42.7%27th of 32
→
DAL pressure generated34.3%22nd of 32

Team Grades

Both teams' own season-to-date PFF grades, side by side.

Grades ranked all 32 teams
DAL
73.0
20th / 32
Overall
PHI
70.2
26th / 32
DAL
78.4
5th / 32
Offense
PHI
66.7
23rd / 32
DAL
51.8
31st / 32
Defense
PHI
63.6
21st / 32
DAL
66.3
28th / 32
Special Teams
PHI
75.6
21st / 32
DAL
85.3
2nd / 32
Passing Offense
PHI
56.0
24th / 32
DAL
68.3
20th / 32
Rushing Offense
PHI
82.5
5th / 32
DAL
76.6
9th / 32
Receiving
PHI
66.7
25th / 32
DAL
64.1
15th / 32
Offensive Line
PHI
63.2
18th / 32
DAL
67.9
21st / 32
Pass Rush
PHI
64.3
29th / 32
DAL
42.8
30th / 32
Coverage
PHI
58.4
18th / 32
DAL
50.8
32nd / 32
Run Defense
PHI
64.6
13th / 32
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