Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles — Win Probability
FINAL
Washington Commanders
3-7
24
VS
Philadelphia Eagles
8-3
17
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Eagles 72%
ACTUAL RESULT
Washington Commanders won by 7
COMBINED SCORE
41
Margin of Victory — Philadelphia Eagles (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
28%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
20%
Won by 15-21
15%
Won by 21+
16%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 41.
O/U LINE 30
80% over ✓20% under
O/U LINE 40
54% over ✓46% under
O/U LINE 41.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
42% over58% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
31% over69% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
21% over79% under ✓
Unlock Full Game Stats
Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
Sign Up Free