Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars — Win Probability
FINAL
Tennessee Titans
2-13
7
VS
Jacksonville Jaguars
11-4
41
Market line: JAX -10.5, total 45.5 · Model expected score: Tennessee Titans 17.5 – Jacksonville Jaguars 28.0
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Jaguars 78%
ACTUAL RESULT
Jacksonville Jaguars won by 34
COMBINED SCORE
48
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Margin of Victory — Jacksonville Jaguars (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
22%
Won by 1-3
7%
Won by 4-7
11%
Won by 8-14
21%
Won by 15-21
18%
Won by 21+ ← actual result
21%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 48.
O/U LINE 30
88% over ✓12% under
O/U LINE 40
66% over ✓34% under
O/U LINE 44
55% over ✓45% under
O/U LINE 45.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
43% over57% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
31% over69% under ✓
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