Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers — Win Probability
FINAL
Seattle Seahawks
11-2
13
VS
San Francisco 49ers
8-4
3
Market line: SF -1.5, total 49.5 · Model expected score: Seattle Seahawks 24.0 – San Francisco 49ers 25.5
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
49ers 54%
ACTUAL RESULT
Seattle Seahawks won by 10
COMBINED SCORE
16
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Margin of Victory — San Francisco 49ers (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
46%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
17%
Won by 15-21
10%
Won by 21+
7%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 16.
O/U LINE 30
93% over7% under ✓
O/U LINE 40
76% over24% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
66% over34% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
55% over45% under ✓
O/U LINE 49.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
43% over57% under ✓
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