New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons — Win Probability
FINAL
New Orleans Saints
5-10
17
VS
Atlanta Falcons
4-8
19
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Falcons 57%
ACTUAL RESULT
Atlanta Falcons won by 2
COMBINED SCORE
36
Margin of Victory — Atlanta Falcons (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
43%
Won by 1-3 ← actual result
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
17%
Won by 15-21
11%
Won by 21+
8%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 36.
O/U LINE 30
80% over ✓20% under
O/U LINE 40
54% over46% under ✓
O/U LINE 41.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
43% over57% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
31% over69% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
22% over78% under ✓
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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