Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans — Win Probability
FINAL
Indianapolis Colts
7-7
30
VS
Houston Texans
8-5
38
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Texans 79%
ACTUAL RESULT
Houston Texans won by 8
COMBINED SCORE
68
Margin of Victory — Houston Texans (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
21%
Won by 1-3
7%
Won by 4-7
11%
Won by 8-14 ← actual result
21%
Won by 15-21
18%
Won by 21+
21%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 68.
O/U LINE 30
76% over ✓24% under
O/U LINE 39.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 40
48% over ✓52% under
O/U LINE 44
37% over ✓63% under
O/U LINE 48
26% over ✓74% under
O/U LINE 52
17% over ✓83% under
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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