Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings — Win Probability
FINAL
Green Bay Packers
7-3
3
VS
Minnesota Vikings
5-5
16
Market line: MIN -5.5, total 36.5 · Model expected score: Green Bay Packers 15.5 – Minnesota Vikings 21.0
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Vikings 66%
ACTUAL RESULT
Minnesota Vikings won by 13
COMBINED SCORE
19
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Margin of Victory — Minnesota Vikings (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
34%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14 ← actual result
19%
Won by 15-21
14%
Won by 21+
12%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 19.
O/U LINE 30
69% over31% under ✓
O/U LINE 36.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 40
40% over60% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
29% over71% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
20% over80% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
12% over88% under ✓
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