Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants — Win Probability
FINAL
Dallas Cowboys
5-4
17
VS
New York Giants
2-10
34
Market line: DAL -4.5, total 51.5 · Model expected score: Dallas Cowboys 28.0 – New York Giants 23.5
Ad space
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Cowboys 63%
ACTUAL RESULT
New York Giants won by 17
COMBINED SCORE
51
Ad space
Margin of Victory — New York Giants (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
63%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
9%
Won by 8-14
11%
Won by 15-21 ← actual result
5%
Won by 21+
3%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 51.
O/U LINE 30
95% over ✓5% under
O/U LINE 40
81% over ✓19% under
O/U LINE 44
71% over ✓29% under
O/U LINE 48
60% over ✓40% under
O/U LINE 51.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
49% over51% under ✓
🔒
Unlock Full Game Stats
Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
PFF player grades, lineup matchups, and betting-line insights for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.