ARI20
FINAL
37LAR
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Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams — Win Probability

FINAL
Arizona Cardinals logo
Arizona Cardinals
2-11
20
VS
Los Angeles Rams logo
Los Angeles Rams
11-3
37
Market line: LAR -8.5, total 47.5 · Model expected score: Arizona Cardinals 19.5 – Los Angeles Rams 28.0
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Prediction vs. Result

We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.

PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Rams 74%
ACTUAL RESULT
Los Angeles Rams won by 17
COMBINED SCORE
57
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Margin of Victory — Los Angeles Rams (Home)

Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.

Lost / Tied
26%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
20%
Won by 15-21 ← actual result
17%
Won by 21+
17%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 57.

O/U LINE 30
91% over ✓9% under
O/U LINE 40
71% over ✓29% under
O/U LINE 44
60% over ✓40% under
O/U LINE 47.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
48% over ✓52% under
O/U LINE 52
37% over ✓63% under
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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