Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns — Win Probability
FINAL
Pittsburgh Steelers
7-3
6
VS
Cleveland Browns
3-11
13
Market line: PIT -4.5, total 34.5 · Model expected score: Pittsburgh Steelers 19.5 – Cleveland Browns 15.0
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Steelers 63%
ACTUAL RESULT
Cleveland Browns won by 7
COMBINED SCORE
19
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Margin of Victory — Cleveland Browns (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
63%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7 ← actual result
9%
Won by 8-14
11%
Won by 15-21
5%
Won by 21+
3%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 19.
O/U LINE 30
63% over37% under ✓
O/U LINE 34.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 40
34% over66% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
24% over76% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
16% over84% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
9% over91% under ✓
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