New Orleans Saints vs Tennessee Titans — Win Probability
FINAL
New Orleans Saints
4-10
34
VS
Tennessee Titans
2-12
26
Market line: NO -2.5, total 38.5 · Model expected score: New Orleans Saints 20.5 – Tennessee Titans 18.0
Ad space
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Saints 58%
ACTUAL RESULT
New Orleans Saints won by 8
COMBINED SCORE
60
Ad space
Margin of Victory — Tennessee Titans (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
58%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14
13%
Won by 15-21
7%
Won by 21+
4%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 60.
O/U LINE 30
74% over ✓26% under
O/U LINE 38.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 40
46% over ✓54% under
O/U LINE 44
34% over ✓66% under
O/U LINE 48
24% over ✓76% under
O/U LINE 52
16% over ✓84% under
🔒
Unlock Full Game Stats
Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
PFF player grades, lineup matchups, and betting-line insights for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.