NO34
FINAL
26TEN
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New Orleans Saints vs Tennessee Titans — Win Probability

FINAL
New Orleans Saints logo
New Orleans Saints
4-10
34
VS
Tennessee Titans logo
Tennessee Titans
2-12
26
Market line: NO -2.5, total 38.5 · Model expected score: New Orleans Saints 20.5 – Tennessee Titans 18.0
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Prediction vs. Result

We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.

PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Saints 58%
ACTUAL RESULT
New Orleans Saints won by 8
COMBINED SCORE
60
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Margin of Victory — Tennessee Titans (Home)

Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.

Lost / Tied ← actual result
58%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14
13%
Won by 15-21
7%
Won by 21+
4%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 60.

O/U LINE 30
74% over ✓26% under
O/U LINE 38.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 40
46% over ✓54% under
O/U LINE 44
34% over ✓66% under
O/U LINE 48
24% over ✓76% under
O/U LINE 52
16% over ✓84% under
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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