Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers — Win Probability
FINAL
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
6-5
20
VS
Carolina Panthers
6-6
23
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Buccaneers 55%
ACTUAL RESULT
Carolina Panthers won by 3
COMBINED SCORE
43
Margin of Victory — Carolina Panthers (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
55%
Won by 1-3 ← actual result
9%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14
14%
Won by 15-21
8%
Won by 21+
5%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 43.
O/U LINE 30
86% over ✓14% under
O/U LINE 40
63% over ✓37% under
O/U LINE 44
52% over48% under ✓
O/U LINE 44.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
40% over60% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
29% over71% under ✓
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