PHI29
FINAL
18WAS
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Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders — Win Probability

FINAL
Philadelphia Eagles logo
Philadelphia Eagles
6-3
29
VS
Washington Commanders logo
Washington Commanders
3-5
18
Market line: PHI -4.5, total 44.5 · Model expected score: Philadelphia Eagles 24.5 – Washington Commanders 20.0
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Prediction vs. Result

We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.

PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Eagles 63%
ACTUAL RESULT
Philadelphia Eagles won by 11
COMBINED SCORE
47
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Margin of Victory — Washington Commanders (Home)

Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.

Lost / Tied ← actual result
63%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
9%
Won by 8-14
11%
Won by 15-21
5%
Won by 21+
3%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 47.

O/U LINE 30
86% over ✓14% under
O/U LINE 40
63% over ✓37% under
O/U LINE 44
51% over ✓49% under
O/U LINE 44.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
40% over60% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
29% over71% under ✓
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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