MIN16
FINAL
13NYG
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Minnesota Vikings vs New York Giants — Win Probability

FINAL
Minnesota Vikings logo
Minnesota Vikings
3-5
16
VS
New York Giants logo
New York Giants
1-9
13
Market line: MIN -1.5, total 42.5 · Model expected score: Minnesota Vikings 22.0 – New York Giants 20.5
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Prediction vs. Result

We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.

PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Vikings 55%
ACTUAL RESULT
Minnesota Vikings won by 3
COMBINED SCORE
29
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Margin of Victory — New York Giants (Home)

Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.

Lost / Tied ← actual result
55%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
11%
Won by 8-14
14%
Won by 15-21
8%
Won by 21+
4%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 29.

O/U LINE 30
82% over18% under ✓
O/U LINE 40
57% over43% under ✓
O/U LINE 42.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
45% over55% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
34% over66% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
24% over76% under ✓
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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