Los Angeles Chargers vs Dallas Cowboys — Win Probability
FINAL
Los Angeles Chargers
5-3
34
VS
Dallas Cowboys
4-3
17
Market line: DAL -1.5, total 49.5 · Model expected score: Los Angeles Chargers 24.0 – Dallas Cowboys 25.5
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Cowboys 54%
ACTUAL RESULT
Los Angeles Chargers won by 17
COMBINED SCORE
51
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Margin of Victory — Dallas Cowboys (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
46%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
17%
Won by 15-21
10%
Won by 21+
7%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 51.
O/U LINE 30
93% over ✓7% under
O/U LINE 40
76% over ✓24% under
O/U LINE 44
66% over ✓34% under
O/U LINE 48
55% over ✓45% under
O/U LINE 49.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 52
43% over57% under ✓
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