Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins — Win Probability
FINAL
Cincinnati Bengals
2-8
45
VS
Miami Dolphins
6-4
21
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Dolphins 54%
ACTUAL RESULT
Cincinnati Bengals won by 24
COMBINED SCORE
66
Margin of Victory — Miami Dolphins (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
46%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
11%
Won by 8-14
17%
Won by 15-21
10%
Won by 21+
7%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 66.
O/U LINE 30
93% over ✓7% under
O/U LINE 40
76% over ✓24% under
O/U LINE 44
66% over ✓34% under
O/U LINE 48
55% over ✓45% under
O/U LINE 49.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 52
43% over ✓57% under
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