Atlanta Falcons vs Arizona Cardinals — Win Probability
FINAL
Atlanta Falcons
3-8
26
VS
Arizona Cardinals
2-9
19
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Falcons 54%
ACTUAL RESULT
Atlanta Falcons won by 7
COMBINED SCORE
45
Margin of Victory — Arizona Cardinals (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
54%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
11%
Won by 8-14
14%
Won by 15-21
8%
Won by 21+
4%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 45.
O/U LINE 30
88% over ✓12% under
O/U LINE 40
66% over ✓34% under
O/U LINE 44
55% over ✓45% under
O/U LINE 45.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
43% over57% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
31% over69% under ✓
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