WAS29
FINAL
21NYG
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Washington Commanders vs New York Giants — Win Probability

FINAL
Washington Commanders logo
Washington Commanders
2-5
29
VS
New York Giants logo
New York Giants
1-8
21
Market line: NYG -1.5, total 45.5 · Model expected score: Washington Commanders 22.0 – New York Giants 23.5
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Prediction vs. Result

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PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Giants 55%
ACTUAL RESULT
Washington Commanders won by 8
COMBINED SCORE
50
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Margin of Victory — New York Giants (Home)

Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.

Lost / Tied ← actual result
45%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
17%
Won by 15-21
10%
Won by 21+
7%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 50.

O/U LINE 30
88% over ✓12% under
O/U LINE 40
66% over ✓34% under
O/U LINE 44
55% over ✓45% under
O/U LINE 45.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
43% over ✓57% under
O/U LINE 52
31% over69% under ✓
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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