Washington Commanders vs New York Giants — Win Probability
FINAL
Washington Commanders
2-5
29
VS
New York Giants
1-8
21
Market line: NYG -1.5, total 45.5 · Model expected score: Washington Commanders 22.0 – New York Giants 23.5
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Giants 55%
ACTUAL RESULT
Washington Commanders won by 8
COMBINED SCORE
50
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Margin of Victory — New York Giants (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
45%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
17%
Won by 15-21
10%
Won by 21+
7%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 50.
O/U LINE 30
88% over ✓12% under
O/U LINE 40
66% over ✓34% under
O/U LINE 44
55% over ✓45% under
O/U LINE 45.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
43% over ✓57% under
O/U LINE 52
31% over69% under ✓
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