Tennessee Titans vs San Francisco 49ers — Win Probability
FINAL
Tennessee Titans
1-11
24
VS
San Francisco 49ers
7-4
37
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
49ers 82%
ACTUAL RESULT
San Francisco 49ers won by 13
COMBINED SCORE
61
Margin of Victory — San Francisco 49ers (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
18%
Won by 1-3
6%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14 ← actual result
20%
Won by 15-21
19%
Won by 21+
26%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 61.
O/U LINE 30
86% over ✓14% under
O/U LINE 40
63% over ✓37% under
O/U LINE 44
52% over ✓48% under
O/U LINE 44.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
40% over ✓60% under
O/U LINE 52
29% over ✓71% under
Projected Margin Range — San Francisco 49ers (Home)
Negative means San Francisco 49ers lost by that many points. The shaded band is the 25th–75th percentile; the dot is the median.
P05: -9
Median: +12
P95: +34