New York Jets vs Jacksonville Jaguars — Win Probability
FINAL
New York Jets
3-7
20
VS
Jacksonville Jaguars
8-4
48
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Jaguars 78%
ACTUAL RESULT
Jacksonville Jaguars won by 28
COMBINED SCORE
68
Margin of Victory — Jacksonville Jaguars (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
22%
Won by 1-3
7%
Won by 4-7
11%
Won by 8-14
21%
Won by 15-21
18%
Won by 21+ ← actual result
22%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 68.
O/U LINE 30
81% over ✓19% under
O/U LINE 40
54% over ✓46% under
O/U LINE 41.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 44
43% over ✓57% under
O/U LINE 48
31% over ✓69% under
O/U LINE 52
22% over ✓78% under
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