Las Vegas Raiders vs Philadelphia Eagles — Win Probability
FINAL
Las Vegas Raiders
2-7
0
VS
Philadelphia Eagles
5-3
31
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Eagles 82%
ACTUAL RESULT
Philadelphia Eagles won by 31
COMBINED SCORE
31
Margin of Victory — Philadelphia Eagles (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
18%
Won by 1-3
6%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14
21%
Won by 15-21
19%
Won by 21+ ← actual result
26%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 31.
O/U LINE 30
74% over ✓26% under
O/U LINE 38.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 40
46% over54% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
34% over66% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
24% over76% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
16% over84% under ✓
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