Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs — Win Probability
FINAL
Los Angeles Chargers
4-3
16
VS
Kansas City Chiefs
3-4
13
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Chiefs 63%
ACTUAL RESULT
Los Angeles Chargers won by 3
COMBINED SCORE
29
Margin of Victory — Kansas City Chiefs (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
37%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
19%
Won by 15-21
13%
Won by 21+
11%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 29.
O/U LINE 30
86% over14% under ✓
O/U LINE 40
64% over36% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
52% over48% under ✓
O/U LINE 44.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
40% over60% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
29% over71% under ✓
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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