IND16
FINAL
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Indianapolis Colts vs Seattle Seahawks — Win Probability

FINAL
Indianapolis Colts logo
Indianapolis Colts
7-5
16
VS
Seattle Seahawks logo
Seattle Seahawks
9-2
18
Market line: SEA -10.5, total 42.5 · Model expected score: Indianapolis Colts 15.9 – Seattle Seahawks 26.5
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Prediction vs. Result

We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.

PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Seahawks 79%
ACTUAL RESULT
Seattle Seahawks won by 2
COMBINED SCORE
34
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Margin of Victory — Seattle Seahawks (Home)

Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.

Lost / Tied
21%
Won by 1-3 ← actual result
7%
Won by 4-7
11%
Won by 8-14
21%
Won by 15-21
18%
Won by 21+
21%

Total Score — Over / Under

Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 34.

O/U LINE 30
82% over ✓18% under
O/U LINE 40
57% over43% under ✓
O/U LINE 42.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
45% over55% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
34% over66% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
24% over76% under ✓
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Every number above comes from the model's live prediction data — 100,000 Monte Carlo simulations, grounded in the market line at generation time.

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