Green Bay Packers vs Denver Broncos — Win Probability
FINAL
Green Bay Packers
7-2
26
VS
Denver Broncos
7-3
34
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Packers 54%
ACTUAL RESULT
Denver Broncos won by 8
COMBINED SCORE
60
Margin of Victory — Denver Broncos (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
54%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
11%
Won by 8-14 ← actual result
14%
Won by 15-21
8%
Won by 21+
5%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 60.
O/U LINE 30
81% over ✓19% under
O/U LINE 40
54% over ✓46% under
O/U LINE 41.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 44
43% over ✓57% under
O/U LINE 48
31% over ✓69% under
O/U LINE 52
21% over ✓79% under
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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