Detroit Lions vs Los Angeles Rams — Win Probability
FINAL
Detroit Lions
5-3
34
VS
Los Angeles Rams
10-3
41
Market line: LAR -3.5, total 51.5 · Model expected score: Detroit Lions 24.0 – Los Angeles Rams 27.5
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Rams 60%
ACTUAL RESULT
Los Angeles Rams won by 7
COMBINED SCORE
75
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Margin of Victory — Los Angeles Rams (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
40%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7 ← actual result
12%
Won by 8-14
18%
Won by 15-21
12%
Won by 21+
9%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 75.
O/U LINE 30
95% over ✓5% under
O/U LINE 40
81% over ✓19% under
O/U LINE 44
72% over ✓28% under
O/U LINE 48
61% over ✓39% under
O/U LINE 51.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 52
49% over ✓51% under
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