Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots — Win Probability
FINAL
Buffalo Bills
8-3
35
VS
New England Patriots
9-3
31
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Bills 55%
ACTUAL RESULT
Buffalo Bills won by 4
COMBINED SCORE
66
Margin of Victory — New England Patriots (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
55%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
11%
Won by 8-14
14%
Won by 15-21
7%
Won by 21+
5%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 66.
O/U LINE 30
92% over ✓8% under
O/U LINE 40
74% over ✓26% under
O/U LINE 44
63% over ✓37% under
O/U LINE 48
51% over ✓49% under
O/U LINE 48.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 52
40% over ✓60% under
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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