Washington Commanders vs Minnesota Vikings — Win Probability
FINAL
Washington Commanders
2-4
0
VS
Minnesota Vikings
2-5
31
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Vikings 55%
ACTUAL RESULT
Minnesota Vikings won by 31
COMBINED SCORE
31
Margin of Victory — Minnesota Vikings (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
45%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
17%
Won by 15-21
10%
Won by 21+ ← actual result
7%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 31.
O/U LINE 30
80% over ✓20% under
O/U LINE 40
54% over46% under ✓
O/U LINE 41.5 MARKET LINE
50% over50% under ✓
O/U LINE 44
42% over58% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
31% over69% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
21% over79% under ✓
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