Tennessee Titans vs Cleveland Browns — Win Probability
FINAL
Tennessee Titans
0-11
31
VS
Cleveland Browns
3-8
29
Market line: CLE -3.5, total 33.5 · Model expected score: Tennessee Titans 15.0 – Cleveland Browns 18.5
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Browns 60%
ACTUAL RESULT
Tennessee Titans won by 2
COMBINED SCORE
60
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Margin of Victory — Cleveland Browns (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
40%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
18%
Won by 15-21
12%
Won by 21+
9%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 60.
O/U LINE 30
60% over ✓40% under
O/U LINE 33.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 40
31% over ✓69% under
O/U LINE 44
22% over ✓78% under
O/U LINE 48
14% over ✓86% under
O/U LINE 52
8% over ✓92% under
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