Seattle Seahawks vs Atlanta Falcons — Win Probability
FINAL
Seattle Seahawks
8-2
37
VS
Atlanta Falcons
3-7
9
Market line: SEA -7.5, total 43.5 · Model expected score: Seattle Seahawks 25.5 – Atlanta Falcons 18.1
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Seahawks 71%
ACTUAL RESULT
Seattle Seahawks won by 28
COMBINED SCORE
46
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Margin of Victory — Atlanta Falcons (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
71%
Won by 1-3
7%
Won by 4-7
8%
Won by 8-14
9%
Won by 15-21
4%
Won by 21+
2%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 46.
O/U LINE 30
85% over ✓15% under
O/U LINE 40
61% over ✓39% under
O/U LINE 43.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 44
49% over ✓51% under
O/U LINE 48
37% over63% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
26% over74% under ✓
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