Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens — Win Probability
FINAL
Pittsburgh Steelers
5-3
27
VS
Baltimore Ravens
5-2
22
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Ravens 69%
ACTUAL RESULT
Pittsburgh Steelers won by 5
COMBINED SCORE
49
Margin of Victory — Baltimore Ravens (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
31%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
20%
Won by 15-21
15%
Won by 21+
14%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 49.
O/U LINE 30
86% over ✓14% under
O/U LINE 40
63% over ✓37% under
O/U LINE 44
52% over ✓48% under
O/U LINE 44.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
40% over ✓60% under
O/U LINE 52
29% over71% under ✓
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