New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Win Probability
FINAL
New Orleans Saints
1-10
24
VS
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
6-4
20
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Buccaneers 71%
ACTUAL RESULT
New Orleans Saints won by 4
COMBINED SCORE
44
Margin of Victory — Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
29%
Won by 1-3
8%
Won by 4-7
12%
Won by 8-14
20%
Won by 15-21
16%
Won by 21+
15%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 44.
O/U LINE 30
83% over ✓17% under
O/U LINE 40
57% over ✓43% under
O/U LINE 42.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 44
45% over55% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
34% over66% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
24% over76% under ✓
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