Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets — Win Probability
FINAL
Miami Dolphins
5-4
34
VS
New York Jets
3-6
10
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Dolphins 57%
ACTUAL RESULT
Miami Dolphins won by 24
COMBINED SCORE
44
Margin of Victory — New York Jets (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
57%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
10%
Won by 8-14
13%
Won by 15-21
7%
Won by 21+
4%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 44.
O/U LINE 30
81% over ✓19% under
O/U LINE 40
55% over ✓45% under
O/U LINE 41.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 44
43% over57% under ✓
O/U LINE 48
31% over69% under ✓
O/U LINE 52
22% over78% under ✓
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