Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals — Win Probability
FINAL
Los Angeles Rams
9-3
45
VS
Arizona Cardinals
2-7
17
Market line: LAR -7.5, total 47.5 · Model expected score: Los Angeles Rams 27.5 – Arizona Cardinals 20.0
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Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Rams 71%
ACTUAL RESULT
Los Angeles Rams won by 28
COMBINED SCORE
62
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Margin of Victory — Arizona Cardinals (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied ← actual result
71%
Won by 1-3
7%
Won by 4-7
8%
Won by 8-14
9%
Won by 15-21
4%
Won by 21+
2%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 62.
O/U LINE 30
91% over ✓9% under
O/U LINE 40
71% over ✓29% under
O/U LINE 44
61% over ✓39% under
O/U LINE 47.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
49% over ✓51% under
O/U LINE 52
37% over ✓63% under
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