Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars — Win Probability
FINAL
Indianapolis Colts
7-4
19
VS
Jacksonville Jaguars
7-4
36
Prediction vs. Result
We keep every prediction permanently so we can always show our work.
PREGAME WIN PROBABILITY
Colts 54%
ACTUAL RESULT
Jacksonville Jaguars won by 17
COMBINED SCORE
55
Margin of Victory — Jacksonville Jaguars (Home)
Pregame odds for every possible outcome, simulated before kickoff -- the highlighted bar is what actually happened.
Lost / Tied
54%
Won by 1-3
9%
Won by 4-7
11%
Won by 8-14
14%
Won by 15-21 ← actual result
8%
Won by 21+
4%
Total Score — Over / Under
Combined final score against five common lines, plus this game's actual market line -- the real combined score was 55.
O/U LINE 30
91% over ✓9% under
O/U LINE 40
72% over ✓28% under
O/U LINE 44
61% over ✓39% under
O/U LINE 47.5 MARKET LINE
50% over ✓50% under
O/U LINE 48
49% over ✓51% under
O/U LINE 52
37% over ✓63% under
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Margin-of-victory breakdowns and total-score probabilities for every game are a free-account feature. This one's part of the paid slate — the Game of the Week is always free to view in full.
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